TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13071511
Played Sep 4Finished
Tomas Janata
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118911811911––
Richard Krejci
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:48 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeRichard Krejci to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Janata above · Richard Krejci below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 78 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Richard Krejci at 54.1%
78 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Janata 12–18 Richard Krejci Tomas Janata has won 12 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Krejci
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-18 in 30
Krejci
Correct
gap of 6 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Janata 1518 vs Krejci 1619
Krejci
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Janata 60% vs Krejci 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Janata 30% vs Krejci 60%
Krejci
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Janata +1 · Krejci -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krejci)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJanata 2.00 / Krejci 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krejci)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13071511
Janata2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 37 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back15% 8 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 34
Krejci1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 51 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it88% 38 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJanata5wins
AwayKrejci5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJanata66.7%4 of 6
AwayKrejci75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Janata6Krejci4n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S2Janata6Krejci4n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S3Janata3Krejci7n = 10Krejci took 7 of 10
S4Janata4Krejci5n = 9Krejci took 5 of 9
S5Janata2Krejci2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJanataKrejciJ − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.941.4−1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJanataKrejciBasisWin rate · lifetime429 / 815 vs 183 / 34452.6%53.2%429 / 815 vs 183 / 344Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrejciJanata 2.00/Krejci 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Krejci · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krejci won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 01:00T. Janata—11129113R. Krejci—9101161
WAug 18 · 02:00T. Janata—312118113R. Krejci—111071182
WAug 9 · 23:30T. Janata—111169113R. Krejci—88111192
LJan 19 · 23:30T. Janata—128111152R. Krejci—141139113
WDec 9 · 03:30T. Janata—11711113R. Krejci—411991
WDec 5 · 24:30T. Janata—12118113R. Krejci—1091181
LDec 3 · 02:30T. Janata—118661R. Krejci—71111113
LNov 10 · 01:00T. Janata—91060R. Krejci—1112113
LNov 5 · 04:00T. Janata—11117992R. Krejci—881111113
LNov 5 · 24:30T. Janata—511961R. Krejci—11911113
T. Janata10
LSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113LSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682WSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721LSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102WSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113WSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113WSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113WSep 1 · 03:00T. Janata1.801211113D. Kouble1.9110540LSep 1 · 02:30D. Tuma2.10101111113T. Janata1.67124971
R. Krejci10
WSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480LSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci1.809980V. Cermak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:00R. Krejci1.911111113M. Chlebecek1.808670WSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf1.5771260R. Krejci2.251114113WSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113WSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682LSep 6 · 19:00R. Krejci2.007680M. Volf1.731111113LSep 6 · 18:00M. Vizek1.5061111113R. Krejci2.50118861LSep 5 · 03:28S. Kadavy1.5711811113R. Krejci2.25611491
Upcoming Matches
T. Janata
R. Krejci
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