TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13083717
Played Sep 6Finished
Tomas Janata
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119911117112––
Martin Vizek
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:29 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeMartin Vizek to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Janata above · Martin Vizek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 71 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Martin Vizek at 59.3%
71 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Janata 14–19 Martin Vizek Tomas Janata has won 14 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:29What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vizek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-19 in 33
Vizek
Wrong
gap of 5 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Janata 1556 vs Vizek 1612
Vizek
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Janata 60% vs Vizek 80%
Vizek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Janata 60% vs Vizek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Janata -1 · Vizek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vizek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vizek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJanata 2.25 / Vizek 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Vizek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13083717
Janata2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog34% won 36 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back16% 8 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 33
Vizek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 44 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it82% 32 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJanata2wins
AwayVizek8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVizek leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJanata66.7%2 of 3
AwayVizek100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Janata3Vizek7n = 10Vizek took 7 of 10
S2Janata1Vizek9n = 10Vizek took 9 of 10
S3Janata4Vizek6n = 10Vizek took 6 of 10
S4Janata3Vizek4n = 7Vizek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricJanataVizekJ − VBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.539.9−7.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJanataVizekBasisWin rate · lifetime427 / 813 vs 211 / 41252.5%51.2%427 / 813 vs 211 / 412Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VizekJanata 2.25/Vizek 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Vizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Janata won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata—11911113M. Vizek—911721
LAug 30 · 19:30T. Janata—361191M. Vizek—11117113
LJul 13 · 19:30T. Janata—4611101M. Vizek—11118123
LJun 14 · 03:05T. Janata—5111151M. Vizek—11813113
WJun 13 · 22:30T. Janata—1113711113M. Vizek—41511962
LJun 1 · 17:30T. Janata—8590M. Vizek—1111113
LJun 1 · 15:30T. Janata—14471142M. Vizek—1211119113
LApr 18 · 02:59T. Janata—1061131M. Vizek—12118113
LApr 18 · 01:30T. Janata—101350M. Vizek—1215113
LJan 25 · 24:30T. Janata—5580M. Vizek—1111113
T. Janata10
LSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113LSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682LSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102WSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113WSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113WSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113LSep 4 · 22:30T. Janata2.00119891R. Krejci1.7381111113WSep 1 · 03:00T. Janata1.801211113D. Kouble1.9110540LSep 1 · 02:30D. Tuma2.10101111113T. Janata1.67124971
M. Vizek10
LSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf1.93117118113M. Vizek1.7751191192WSep 6 · 20:00M. Vizek1.8312101411123M. Volf1.831412126102WSep 6 · 18:00M. Vizek1.5061111113R. Krejci2.50118861LAug 30 · 21:28M. Vizek1.80341171M. Nohejl1.9111118113WAug 30 · 20:00M. Vizek1.73511611113M. Nohejl2.0011811772WAug 30 · 19:30T. Janata2.20361191M. Vizek1.6111117113WAug 30 · 18:00M. Vizek2.2581613113T. Vinter1.5711141161WAug 26 · 16:58M. Sedlak1.806760M. Vizek1.911111113LAug 26 · 16:00J. Pozarsky1.731111113M. Vizek2.005980LAug 26 · 15:00M. Sedlak1.83661211113M. Vizek1.83111110982
Upcoming Matches
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M. Vizek
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