TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13042327
Played Aug 30Finished
Martin Vizek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511118611117117
Matej Nohejl
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:48 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Vizek to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Vizek above · Matej Nohejl below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 88 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Martin Vizek at 54.9%
88 points played in total.
H2H Martin Vizek 4–1 Matej Nohejl Matej Nohejl has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:48What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vizek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Vizek
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vizek 1578 vs Nohejl 1666
Nohejl
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vizek 60% vs Nohejl 100%
Nohejl
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vizek 40% vs Nohejl 90%
Nohejl
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vizek +3 · Nohejl +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vizek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVizek 1.73 / Nohejl 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Nohejl)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13042327
Vizek1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 45 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it82% 32 of 39
Nohejl2.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 16 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeVizek4wins
AwayNohejl1wins
3 of 5 to a deciderVizek leads 4–1, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVizek80%4 of 5
AwayNohejln = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vizek5Nohejl0n = 5Vizek took 5 of 5
S2Vizek4Nohejl1n = 5Vizek took 4 of 5
S3Vizek0Nohejl5n = 5Nohejl took 5 of 5
S4Vizek3Nohejl2n = 5Vizek took 3 of 5
S5Vizek2Nohejl1n = 3Vizek took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricVizekNohejlV − NBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set50+5of 5Avg pointsper match45.040.8+4.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVizekNohejlBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 419 vs 110 / 22651.1%48.7%214 / 419 vs 110 / 226Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VizekVizek 1.73/Nohejl 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WDec 29 · 15:00M. Vizek—1211107113M. Nohejl—108121152
WDec 1 · 17:00M. Vizek—116912113M. Nohejl—911111052
WNov 2 · 15:00M. Vizek—11115113M. Nohejl—781151
WOct 2 · 14:30M. Vizek—11119123M. Nohejl—6411101
LJun 13 · 16:00M. Vizek—11118772M. Nohejl—891111113
M. Vizek10
LSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf1.93117118113M. Vizek1.7751191192WSep 6 · 20:00M. Vizek1.8312101411123M. Volf1.831412126102LSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721WSep 6 · 18:00M. Vizek1.5061111113R. Krejci2.50118861LAug 30 · 21:28M. Vizek1.80341171M. Nohejl1.9111118113WAug 30 · 19:30T. Janata2.20361191M. Vizek1.6111117113WAug 30 · 18:00M. Vizek2.2581613113T. Vinter1.5711141161WAug 26 · 16:58M. Sedlak1.806760M. Vizek1.911111113LAug 26 · 16:00J. Pozarsky1.731111113M. Vizek2.005980LAug 26 · 15:00M. Sedlak1.83661211113M. Vizek1.83111110982
M. Nohejl10
WAug 30 · 21:28M. Vizek1.80341171M. Nohejl1.9111118113WAug 30 · 19:00T. Vinter2.758150M. Nohejl1.401111113WAug 30 · 18:30M. Nohejl1.531111113T. Janata2.385450WAug 30 · 17:29M. Nohejl1.4411117113T. Janata2.63631131WAug 30 · 16:30M. Nohejl1.731111113P. Budinsky2.008570WAug 30 · 15:00M. Nohejl1.5711119113T. Janata2.25791151WAug 30 · 14:00D. Tuma1.8351221272M. Nohejl1.8311101110113WAug 26 · 17:30M. Nohejl1.7561111113T. Janata1.90118931WAug 26 · 16:30T. Vinter2.2081040M. Nohejl1.611112113WAug 26 · 15:30M. Nohejl1.7361112113T. Janata2.001161091
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