TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13041782
Played Aug 30Finished
Matej Nohejl
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115114115––––
Tomas Janata
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:10 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeMatej Nohejl to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMatej Nohejl above · Tomas Janata below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 47 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Matej Nohejl at 57.7%
47 points played in total.
H2H Matej Nohejl 15–5 Tomas Janata Tomas Janata has won 5 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Nohejl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-5 in 20
Nohejl
Correct
gap of 10 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nohejl 1640 vs Janata 1498
Nohejl
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nohejl 100% vs Janata 40%
Nohejl
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nohejl 80% vs Janata 40%
Nohejl
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nohejl +5 · Janata -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Nohejl) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 1.53 / Janata 2.38
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Nohejl)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13041782
Nohejl1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 16 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it73% 8 of 11
Janata2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 40 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNohejl7wins
AwayJanata3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderNohejl leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNohejl100%4 of 4
AwayJanata50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nohejl4Janata6n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S2Nohejl5Janata5n = 10split evenly
S3Nohejl7Janata3n = 10Nohejl took 7 of 10
S4Nohejl7Janata1n = 8Nohejl took 7 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNohejlJanataN − JBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.834.3+3.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlJanataBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 228 vs 429 / 82348.7%52.1%111 / 228 vs 429 / 823Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlNohejl 1.53/Janata 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.2%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 18:30M. Nohejl—1111113T. Janata—5450
WAug 30 · 17:29M. Nohejl—11117113T. Janata—631131
WAug 30 · 15:00M. Nohejl—11119113T. Janata—791151
WAug 26 · 17:30M. Nohejl—61111113T. Janata—118931
WAug 26 · 15:30M. Nohejl—61112113T. Janata—1161091
LAug 21 · 08:30M. Nohejl—561191T. Janata—11118113
LAug 17 · 22:00M. Nohejl—4880T. Janata—1111113
WAug 9 · 12:00M. Nohejl—981111113T. Janata—11119792
WMay 6 · 20:30M. Nohejl—11511113T. Janata—811881
LMay 2 · 19:00M. Nohejl—69131162T. Janata—1111117113
M. Nohejl10
WAug 30 · 21:28M. Vizek1.80341171M. Nohejl1.9111118113LAug 30 · 20:00M. Vizek1.73511611113M. Nohejl2.0011811772WAug 30 · 19:00T. Vinter2.758150M. Nohejl1.401111113WAug 30 · 17:29M. Nohejl1.4411117113T. Janata2.63631131WAug 30 · 16:30M. Nohejl1.731111113P. Budinsky2.008570WAug 30 · 15:00M. Nohejl1.5711119113T. Janata2.25791151WAug 30 · 14:00D. Tuma1.8351221272M. Nohejl1.8311101110113WAug 26 · 17:30M. Nohejl1.7561111113T. Janata1.90118931WAug 26 · 16:30T. Vinter2.2081040M. Nohejl1.611112113WAug 26 · 15:30M. Nohejl1.7361112113T. Janata2.001161091
T. Janata10
LSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113LSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682WSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721LSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102WSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113LAug 30 · 17:29M. Nohejl1.4411117113T. Janata2.63631131LAug 30 · 15:00M. Nohejl1.5711119113T. Janata2.25791151LAug 26 · 17:30M. Nohejl1.7561111113T. Janata1.90118931LAug 26 · 15:30M. Nohejl1.7361112113T. Janata2.001161091
Upcoming Matches
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T. Janata
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