TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13047554
Played Sep 1Finished
Daniel Tuma
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012114119117––
Tomas Janata
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tuma to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Tomas Janata below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 75 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Daniel Tuma at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tuma 45–52 Tomas Janata Daniel Tuma has won 45 of their 97 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:18What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Janata
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-52 in 97
Janata
Wrong
gap of 7 in 97, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1553 vs Janata 1520
Tuma
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 40% vs Janata 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 40% vs Janata 20%
Tuma
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma +1 · Janata +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Janata) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Janata form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 2.10 / Janata 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Janata)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13047554
Tuma2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 167 of 371
Down 0–1, comes back27% 53 of 198
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 107
Janata1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 111 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it77% 77 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuma3wins
AwayJanata7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJanata leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuma50%3 of 6
AwayJanata100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma6Janata4n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S2Tuma2Janata8n = 10Janata took 8 of 10
S3Tuma5Janata5n = 10split evenly
S4Tuma3Janata4n = 7Janata took 4 of 7
S5Tuma1Janata3n = 4Janata took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTumaJanataT − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.640.8−4.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaJanataBasisWin rate · lifetime769 / 1478 vs 430 / 81852%52.6%769 / 1478 vs 430 / 818Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataTuma 2.10/Janata 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 23:30D. Tuma—1215113T. Janata—101390
LAug 26 · 16:00D. Tuma—7650T. Janata—1111113
WAug 20 · 08:00D. Tuma—1191110113T. Janata—61151212
LAug 11 · 02:58D. Tuma—11981172T. Janata—811119113
WAug 11 · 02:30D. Tuma—11413113T. Janata—8111191
LJun 11 · 18:00D. Tuma—811971T. Janata—11811113
LJun 8 · 21:28D. Tuma—11312992T. Janata—8111011113
LJun 8 · 19:00D. Tuma—481321T. Janata—111111113
LMay 20 · 23:00D. Tuma—116811102T. Janata—911117123
LApr 20 · 02:00D. Tuma—6780T. Janata—1111113
D. Tuma10
WSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133WSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113WSep 3 · 18:30D. Tuma1.40111212113V. Postelt2.757101481WSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271WSep 3 · 16:00D. Tuma1.911111113J. Stolfa1.809770LSep 3 · 15:30M. Sobisek2.00118119133D. Tuma1.73411711112WSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WSep 1 · 21:28D. Tuma1.91128511113K. Kapras1.80101111492WSep 1 · 20:30D. Tuma2.20117117113K. Kapras1.6141161152
T. Janata10
LSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113LSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682WSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721LSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102WSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113WSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113WSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113LSep 4 · 22:30T. Janata2.00119891R. Krejci1.7381111113WSep 1 · 03:00T. Janata1.801211113D. Kouble1.9110540
Upcoming Matches
D. Tuma
Nothing scheduled
T. Janata
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