TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12367886
Played Aug 5Finished
Lubos Krticka
Home
1.77
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511117611118411
Michal Vedmoch
Away
1.93
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Vedmoch to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLubos Krticka above · Michal Vedmoch below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 85 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Michal Vedmoch at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Lubos Krticka 4–7 Michal Vedmoch Lubos Krticka has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.77 (52%)
Krticka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Vedmoch
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krticka 1606 vs Vedmoch 1632
Vedmoch
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krticka 60% vs Vedmoch 80%
Vedmoch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krticka 70% vs Vedmoch 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krticka +1 · Vedmoch -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vedmoch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vedmoch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrticka 1.77 / Vedmoch 1.93
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vedmoch)+6.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12367886
Krticka1.77
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 23 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it81% 17 of 21
Vedmoch1.93
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog46% won 146 of 315
Down 0–1, comes back23% 36 of 158
Down 0–2, comes back12% 11 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrticka4wins
AwayVedmoch6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVedmoch leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrticka75%3 of 4
AwayVedmoch83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krticka4Vedmoch6n = 10Vedmoch took 6 of 10
S2Krticka4Vedmoch6n = 10Vedmoch took 6 of 10
S3Krticka4Vedmoch6n = 10Vedmoch took 6 of 10
S4Krticka5Vedmoch1n = 6Krticka took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrtickaVedmochK − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.435.0−0.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrtickaVedmochBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 191 vs 698 / 129949.2%53.7%94 / 191 vs 698 / 1299Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VedmochKrticka 1.77/Vedmoch 1.93
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vedmoch · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vedmoch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 5 · 21:30L. Krticka—51161142M. Vedmoch—117118113
WAug 5 · 20:00L. Krticka—111211113M. Vedmoch—1310681
LJul 17 · 21:28L. Krticka—8460M. Vedmoch—1111113
LJul 17 · 18:30L. Krticka—9890M. Vedmoch—1111113
LMay 7 · 20:00L. Krticka—119671M. Vedmoch—81111113
LMar 8 · 21:00L. Krticka—36111192M. Vedmoch—111155113
WFeb 24 · 20:00L. Krticka—1311113M. Vedmoch—11650
LFeb 3 · 21:00L. Krticka—7980M. Vedmoch—1111113
WFeb 1 · 21:00L. Krticka—11138113M. Vedmoch—7111111
WJan 11 · 21:00L. Krticka—111011113M. Vedmoch—712921
L. Krticka10
WAug 16 · 21:29F. Just1.6181070L. Krticka2.201112113LAug 16 · 20:00J. Stolfa1.501111113L. Krticka2.506080WAug 16 · 19:00R. Pavelka2.63101261162L. Krticka1.441210115113WAug 16 · 18:30L. Krticka2.75111495113F. Just1.40612111182WAug 13 · 21:00K. Kapras1.36911111192L. Krticka3.00117613113LAug 13 · 20:00D. Tuma1.3611129113L. Krticka3.007101181LAug 13 · 19:00K. Kapras1.4411123133L. Krticka2.6371011111LAug 13 · 18:30L. Krticka2.635111051F. Just1.4411612113WAug 5 · 20:00L. Krticka2.50111211113M. Vedmoch1.501310681LAug 5 · 19:30P. Fojt2.00116118113L. Krticka1.7331191112
M. Vedmoch10
WSep 4 · 03:30J. Trefny1.909960M. Vedmoch1.801111113WSep 4 · 02:30J. Dedek2.385650M. Vedmoch1.531111113WSep 4 · 01:00J. Plachy2.20411681M. Vedmoch1.6111611113LSep 3 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.571110111252J. Trefny2.25812814113WSep 3 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.801111123J. Prokupek1.9144100WSep 3 · 13:29J. Plachy2.107650M. Vedmoch1.671111113LSep 3 · 12:00J. Plachy2.2091111113M. Vedmoch1.61117941WSep 3 · 11:00M. Kolar2.758161151M. Vedmoch1.4011186113WSep 3 · 10:30M. Vedmoch1.801211113J. Prokupek1.9110880LAug 5 · 20:00L. Krticka2.50111211113M. Vedmoch1.501310681
Upcoming Matches
L. Krticka
M. Vedmoch
Sep 7 · 14:00M. Vedmoch2.25R. Pavelka1.57—Sep 7 · 15:30M. Vedmoch1.73T. Dousa2.00—Sep 7 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.83M. Sedlak1.83—Sep 7 · 18:30M. Vedmoch2.20J. Hradecky1.61—Sep 7 · 19:00M. Vedmoch1.67L. Krticka2.10—Sep 7 · 20:00M. Vedmoch2.75T. Janata1.40—Sep 8 · 14:30M. Vedmoch—M. Sobisek——Sep 8 · 22:00M. Vedmoch—V. Postelt——
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