TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12362211
Played Aug 5Finished
Pavel Fojt
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
113611119811111
Lubos Krticka
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLubos Krticka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPavel Fojt above · Lubos Krticka below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-1
Point 82 set 5, 11-1 — our read held Lubos Krticka at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Fojt 12–8 Lubos Krticka Lubos Krticka has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:27What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Krticka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-8 in 20
Fojt
Correct
gap of 4 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fojt 1469 vs Krticka 1593
Krticka
Wrong
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fojt 0% vs Krticka 60%
Krticka
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fojt 20% vs Krticka 70%
Krticka
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fojt -5 · Krticka +1
Fojt
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krticka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fojt form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFojt 2.00 / Krticka 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krticka)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12362211
Fojt2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 65 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back21% 19 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Krticka1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 23 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it81% 17 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFojt5wins
AwayKrticka5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFojt83.3%5 of 6
AwayKrticka100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fojt6Krticka4n = 10Fojt took 6 of 10
S2Fojt2Krticka8n = 10Krticka took 8 of 10
S3Fojt6Krticka4n = 10Fojt took 6 of 10
S4Fojt3Krticka2n = 5Fojt took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricFojtKrtickaF − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.933.1+0.8per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFojtKrtickaBasisWin rate · lifetime352 / 721 vs 94 / 19148.8%49.2%352 / 721 vs 94 / 191Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.135.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrtickaFojt 2.00/Krticka 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krticka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fojt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 5 · 19:30P. Fojt—116118113L. Krticka—31191112
LJun 30 · 21:30P. Fojt—1310881L. Krticka—111211113
WJun 30 · 18:00P. Fojt—11811113L. Krticka—411851
WJun 1 · 18:30P. Fojt—1111113L. Krticka—9670
LMay 20 · 20:00P. Fojt—91250L. Krticka—1114113
WMay 12 · 20:30P. Fojt—11713113L. Krticka—8111141
LMar 8 · 20:00P. Fojt—1870L. Krticka—1111113
LFeb 24 · 22:30P. Fojt—4650L. Krticka—1111113
WFeb 24 · 19:00P. Fojt—1211113L. Krticka—10580
LFeb 18 · 22:30P. Fojt—79111182L. Krticka—111136113
P. Fojt10
LSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113WSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461WSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780WSep 3 · 03:30D. Parhomenko2.0277120P. Fojt1.701111143LSep 3 · 02:30P. Fojt1.80111110472D. Parhomenko1.91891211113WSep 3 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.10611121482P. Fojt1.671171412113WSep 3 · 24:00P. Fojt1.61811711113J. Jnr2.2011811932WSep 2 · 23:00K. Darin2.636690P. Fojt1.441111113
L. Krticka10
WAug 16 · 21:29F. Just1.6181070L. Krticka2.201112113LAug 16 · 20:00J. Stolfa1.501111113L. Krticka2.506080WAug 16 · 19:00R. Pavelka2.63101261162L. Krticka1.441210115113WAug 16 · 18:30L. Krticka2.75111495113F. Just1.40612111182WAug 13 · 21:00K. Kapras1.36911111192L. Krticka3.00117613113LAug 13 · 20:00D. Tuma1.3611129113L. Krticka3.007101181LAug 13 · 19:00K. Kapras1.4411123133L. Krticka2.6371011111LAug 13 · 18:30L. Krticka2.635111051F. Just1.4411612113LAug 5 · 21:30L. Krticka1.7751161142M. Vedmoch1.93117118113WAug 5 · 20:00L. Krticka2.50111211113M. Vedmoch1.501310681
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