TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12439809
Played Aug 16Finished
Jakub Stolfa
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116110118––––
Lubos Krticka
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:43 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Stolfa to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Lubos Krticka below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-0
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 47 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Jakub Stolfa at 64.5%
47 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Stolfa 1–0 Lubos Krticka Lubos Krticka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:43What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Stolfa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stolfa 1685 vs Krticka 1593
Stolfa
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stolfa 60% vs Krticka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stolfa 70% vs Krticka 50%
Stolfa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stolfa -2 · Krticka +3
Krticka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Stolfa) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krticka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolfa 1.50 / Krticka 2.50
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Stolfa)+7.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12439809
Stolfa1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 58 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it100% 26 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it80% 39 of 49
Krticka2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 21 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back33% 9 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back25% 4 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeStolfa1wins
AwayKrticka0wins
Stolfa leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricStolfaKrtickaS − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.014.0+19.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolfaKrtickaBasisWin rate · lifetime177 / 341 vs 90 / 19051.9%47.4%177 / 341 vs 90 / 190Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.235.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StolfaStolfa 1.50/Krticka 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Stolfa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stolfa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 16 · 20:00J. Stolfa—1111113L. Krticka—6080
J. Stolfa10
LSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153LSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113LSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa2.2512991192V. Cermak1.571011119113WSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113LSep 4 · 16:59J. Stolfa1.67731281S. Kadavy2.10111110113WSep 4 · 16:00J. Stolfa2.5081111113D. Hofman1.50119881LSep 4 · 15:30S. Kadavy2.20116119113J. Stolfa1.6151171192LSep 4 · 14:00J. Stolfa3.4061111782M. Pikous1.30117911113WSep 4 · 08:58D. Hofman1.4012115992J. Stolfa2.751091111113LSep 4 · 08:00J. Stolfa2.25131091192D. Hofman1.571112117113
L. Krticka10
WAug 16 · 21:29F. Just1.6181070L. Krticka2.201112113WAug 16 · 19:00R. Pavelka2.63101261162L. Krticka1.441210115113WAug 16 · 18:30L. Krticka2.75111495113F. Just1.40612111182WAug 13 · 21:00K. Kapras1.36911111192L. Krticka3.00117613113LAug 13 · 20:00D. Tuma1.3611129113L. Krticka3.007101181LAug 13 · 19:00K. Kapras1.4411123133L. Krticka2.6371011111LAug 13 · 18:30L. Krticka2.635111051F. Just1.4411612113LAug 5 · 21:30L. Krticka1.7751161142M. Vedmoch1.93117118113WAug 5 · 20:00L. Krticka2.50111211113M. Vedmoch1.501310681LAug 5 · 19:30P. Fojt2.00116118113L. Krticka1.7331191112
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