TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12422080
Played Aug 13Finished
Lubos Krticka
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111161012511––
Frantisek Just
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:21 and never touched — 63.0% is still 63.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Just to win
63.0%
63.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLubos Krticka above · Frantisek Just below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 71 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Frantisek Just at 63.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Lubos Krticka 0–2 Frantisek Just Lubos Krticka has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:21What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Just
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krticka 1573 vs Just 1627
Just
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krticka 40% vs Just 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krticka 60% vs Just 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krticka -1 · Just -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Just) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Just form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrticka 2.63 / Just 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Just)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12422080
Krticka2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog54% won 20 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back38% 9 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back29% 4 of 14
Just1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 58 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it81% 46 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKrticka0wins
AwayJust2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderJust leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKrtickaJustK − JBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match34.542.0−7.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrtickaJustBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 187 vs 192 / 37347.6%51.5%89 / 187 vs 192 / 373Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.736.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JustKrticka 2.63/Just 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Just · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Just won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 13 · 18:30L. Krticka—5111051F. Just—11612113
LMay 26 · 20:30L. Krticka—58111132F. Just—111183113
L. Krticka10
WAug 16 · 21:29F. Just1.6181070L. Krticka2.201112113LAug 16 · 20:00J. Stolfa1.501111113L. Krticka2.506080WAug 16 · 19:00R. Pavelka2.63101261162L. Krticka1.441210115113WAug 16 · 18:30L. Krticka2.75111495113F. Just1.40612111182WAug 13 · 21:00K. Kapras1.36911111192L. Krticka3.00117613113LAug 13 · 20:00D. Tuma1.3611129113L. Krticka3.007101181LAug 13 · 19:00K. Kapras1.4411123133L. Krticka2.6371011111LAug 5 · 21:30L. Krticka1.7751161142M. Vedmoch1.93117118113WAug 5 · 20:00L. Krticka2.50111211113M. Vedmoch1.501310681LAug 5 · 19:30P. Fojt2.00116118113L. Krticka1.7331191112
F. Just10
WSep 4 · 17:30F. Just1.301311113R. Pavelka3.4011930WSep 4 · 16:30J. Prokupek3.104770F. Just1.301111113WSep 4 · 15:30F. Just1.381111113R. Pavelka2.802760WSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.007780F. Just1.701111113LAug 25 · 02:30F. Just2.385780D. Tuma1.531111113WAug 25 · 01:30M. Vesely2.20115111142F. Just1.61911137113LAug 25 · 24:00F. Just1.833730R. Krejci1.831111113LAug 24 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke2.3871111113F. Just1.53115791LAug 16 · 21:29F. Just1.6181070L. Krticka2.201112113LAug 16 · 18:30L. Krticka2.75111495113F. Just1.40612111182
Upcoming Matches
L. Krticka
F. Just
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