TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12422078
Played Aug 13Finished
Daniel Tuma
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171210911118––
Lubos Krticka
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:21 and never touched — 76.2% is still 76.2%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tuma to win
76.2%
76.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Lubos Krticka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 79 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Daniel Tuma at 76.2%
79 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tuma 7–0 Lubos Krticka Lubos Krticka has won 0 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:21What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Tuma
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-0 in 7
Tuma
Correct
gap of 7 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1592 vs Krticka 1573
Tuma
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 40% vs Krticka 20%
Tuma
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 50% vs Krticka 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma +1 · Krticka -3
Krticka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Tuma) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krticka form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 1.36 / Krticka 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Tuma)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12422078
Tuma1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 155 of 249
Up 2–0, closes it96% 73 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it77% 115 of 149
Krticka3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog54% won 20 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back38% 9 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back29% 4 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeTuma7wins
AwayKrticka0wins
Tuma leads 7–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuma100%7 of 7
AwayKrtickan = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma7Krticka0n = 7Tuma took 7 of 7
S2Tuma6Krticka1n = 7Tuma took 6 of 7
S3Tuma7Krticka0n = 7Tuma took 7 of 7
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home686%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricTumaKrtickaT − KBasisWins70+7in 7 meetingsFirst set70+7of 7Avg pointsper match35.122.1+13.0per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaKrtickaBasisWin rate · lifetime761 / 1461 vs 89 / 18752.1%47.6%761 / 1461 vs 89 / 187Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.635.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaTuma 1.36/Krticka 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.8%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJun 21 · 19:30D. Tuma—1111113L. Krticka—4980
WNov 23 · 22:30D. Tuma—1111133L. Krticka—32110
WNov 23 · 21:00D. Tuma—1111113L. Krticka—6860
WNov 21 · 22:30D. Tuma—111111123L. Krticka—8137101
WNov 21 · 19:00D. Tuma—1111113L. Krticka—4580
WNov 1 · 20:30D. Tuma—1111113L. Krticka—7880
WAug 5 · 18:00D. Tuma—1112113L. Krticka—61040
D. Tuma10
WSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133WSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113WSep 3 · 18:30D. Tuma1.40111212113V. Postelt2.757101481WSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271WSep 3 · 16:00D. Tuma1.911111113J. Stolfa1.809770LSep 3 · 15:30M. Sobisek2.00118119133D. Tuma1.73411711112WSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WSep 1 · 21:28D. Tuma1.91128511113K. Kapras1.80101111492WSep 1 · 20:30D. Tuma2.20117117113K. Kapras1.6141161152
L. Krticka10
WAug 16 · 21:29F. Just1.6181070L. Krticka2.201112113LAug 16 · 20:00J. Stolfa1.501111113L. Krticka2.506080WAug 16 · 19:00R. Pavelka2.63101261162L. Krticka1.441210115113WAug 16 · 18:30L. Krticka2.75111495113F. Just1.40612111182WAug 13 · 21:00K. Kapras1.36911111192L. Krticka3.00117613113LAug 13 · 19:00K. Kapras1.4411123133L. Krticka2.6371011111LAug 13 · 18:30L. Krticka2.635111051F. Just1.4411612113LAug 5 · 21:30L. Krticka1.7751161142M. Vedmoch1.93117118113WAug 5 · 20:00L. Krticka2.50111211113M. Vedmoch1.501310681LAug 5 · 19:30P. Fojt2.00116118113L. Krticka1.7331191112
Upcoming Matches
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L. Krticka
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