TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087404
Played Sep 7Finished
Jakub Hradecky
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
311117118115––
Tomas Janata
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:49 and never touched — 72.2% is still 72.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Hradecky to win
72.2%
72.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Hradecky above · Tomas Janata below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 67 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Jakub Hradecky at 72.2%
67 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Hradecky 14–1 Tomas Janata Tomas Janata has won 1 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:49What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Hradecky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-1 in 15
Hradecky
Correct
gap of 13 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hradecky 1620 vs Janata 1527
Hradecky
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hradecky 40% vs Janata 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hradecky 30% vs Janata 50%
Janata
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hradecky +2 · Janata +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Hradecky) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hradecky form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHradecky 1.33 / Janata 3.25
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Hradecky)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087404
Hradecky1.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 83 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it98% 41 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it77% 57 of 74
Janata3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog34% won 37 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back15% 8 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHradecky9wins
AwayJanata1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHradecky leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHradecky100%4 of 4
AwayJanata16.7%1 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hradecky4Janata6n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S2Hradecky8Janata2n = 10Hradecky took 8 of 10
S3Hradecky8Janata2n = 10Hradecky took 8 of 10
S4Hradecky6Janata1n = 7Hradecky took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHradeckyJanataH − JBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.830.7+7.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHradeckyJanataBasisWin rate · lifetime251 / 479 vs 428 / 81852.4%52.3%251 / 479 vs 428 / 818Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HradeckyHradecky 1.33/Janata 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.4%
Hradecky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hradecky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 19:30J. Hradecky—31111113T. Janata—117851
WAug 3 · 23:00J. Hradecky—81211113T. Janata—1110751
WAug 3 · 19:30J. Hradecky—111011113T. Janata—712661
WMay 22 · 16:30J. Hradecky—1111113T. Janata—8340
WMay 19 · 01:00J. Hradecky—31311113T. Janata—1111981
WMar 31 · 02:30J. Hradecky—1111113T. Janata—2290
WMar 18 · 24:30J. Hradecky—511116113T. Janata—11981182
LJan 28 · 15:00J. Hradecky—91060T. Janata—1112113
WSep 26 · 21:00J. Hradecky—11119113T. Janata—651161
WSep 26 · 18:00J. Hradecky—61411113T. Janata—1112761
J. Hradecky10
WSep 7 · 20:30L. Krticka2.503430J. Hradecky1.501111113WSep 7 · 18:30M. Vedmoch2.2011990J. Hradecky1.611311113WSep 3 · 17:00J. Stolfa1.733760J. Hradecky2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Hradecky1.809411131M. Sobisek1.9111116153LSep 3 · 15:00J. Hradecky1.918141281J. Stolfa1.80111214113LSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WSep 2 · 02:00M. Chlebecek1.838680J. Hradecky1.831111113LSep 2 · 24:30J. Hradecky1.67114961M. Sobisek2.1051111113LSep 1 · 23:00J. Hradecky2.75119671J. Tazler1.4071111113LSep 1 · 22:00M. Regner1.441311163J. Hradecky2.63118140
T. Janata10
LSep 7 · 20:00T. Janata1.40591351M. Vedmoch2.75111111113WSep 7 · 18:00T. Janata1.44111194113L. Krticka2.6398111182LSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113LSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682WSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721LSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102WSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113WSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113WSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113
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