TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12391290
Played Aug 11Finished
Matej Volf
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111311115114––
Ales Hlawatschke
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:04 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMatej Volf to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMatej Volf above · Ales Hlawatschke below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 75 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Matej Volf at 55.8%
75 points played in total.
H2H Matej Volf 3–0 Ales Hlawatschke Ales Hlawatschke has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:04What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Volf
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Volf
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volf 1550 vs Hlawatschke 1548
Volf
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volf 100% vs Hlawatschke 20%
Volf
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volf 60% vs Hlawatschke 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volf +5 · Hlawatschke -2
Volf
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Volf)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hlawatschke form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolf 1.67 / Hlawatschke 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Volf)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12391290
Volf1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 39 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it78% 32 of 41
Hlawatschke2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 8 of 19
Down 0–1, comes back27% 3 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeVolf3wins
AwayHlawatschke0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderVolf leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volf1Hlawatschke2n = 3Hlawatschke took 2 of 3
S2Volf3Hlawatschke0n = 3Volf took 3 of 3
S3Volf2Hlawatschke1n = 3Volf took 2 of 3
S4Volf2Hlawatschke1n = 3Volf took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricVolfHlawatschkeV − HBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match44.034.3+9.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolfHlawatschkeBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 402 vs 98 / 19452%50.5%209 / 402 vs 98 / 194Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolfVolf 1.67/Hlawatschke 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Volf · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Volf won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 11 · 24:00M. Volf—91311113A. Hlawatschke—1111541
WJan 29 · 01:00M. Volf—12119113A. Hlawatschke—1051181
WJan 7 · 24:30M. Volf—511117113A. Hlawatschke—11731162
M. Volf10
LSep 7 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5381111113M. Volf2.38114681WSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113LSep 6 · 23:30M. Volf1.618860V. Cermak2.201111113LSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf1.5771260R. Krejci2.251114113WSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf1.93117118113M. Vizek1.7751191192LSep 6 · 20:00M. Vizek1.8312101411123M. Volf1.831412126102WSep 6 · 19:00R. Krejci2.007680M. Volf1.731111113WSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102LAug 11 · 01:30M. Sobisek1.501111113M. Volf2.506920WAug 10 · 23:00P. Zmuda1.9134120M. Volf1.801111143
A. Hlawatschke10
WAug 25 · 03:28A. Hlawatschke1.3671111113R. Krejci3.00118981WAug 25 · 02:00R. Krejci3.25139111332A. Hlawatschke1.331111915113WAug 25 · 24:30A. Hlawatschke1.91131110113M. Vesely1.801181281WAug 24 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke2.3871111113F. Just1.53115791WAug 24 · 22:00D. Tuma2.001341061A. Hlawatschke1.73111112113WAug 18 · 03:28T. Janata1.539711111A. Hlawatschke2.3811117133WAug 18 · 02:30A. Hlawatschke1.501111133M. Nohejl2.5096110LAug 18 · 01:30M. Vesely1.91913148113A. Hlawatschke1.801111121192WAug 18 · 24:00A. Hlawatschke1.3371111123R. Krejci3.251169101LAug 17 · 23:00T. Janata1.53911118113A. Hlawatschke2.3811771152
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