TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12444188
Played Aug 18Finished
Michal Vesely
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
91113111412811119
Ales Hlawatschke
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAles Hlawatschke to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMichal Vesely above · Ales Hlawatschke below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 109 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Ales Hlawatschke at 54.0%
109 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vesely 1–0 Ales Hlawatschke Ales Hlawatschke has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:32What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hlawatschke
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vesely 1593 vs Hlawatschke 1511
Vesely
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vesely 40% vs Hlawatschke 20%
Vesely
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vesely 40% vs Hlawatschke 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vesely -2 · Hlawatschke +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hlawatschke)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hlawatschke form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVesely 1.91 / Hlawatschke 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hlawatschke)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12444188
Vesely1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog52% won 11 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back40% 4 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Hlawatschke1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite44% won 7 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it44% 4 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVesely1wins
AwayHlawatschke0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderVesely leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVeselyHlawatschkeV − HBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match55.054.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeselyHlawatschkeBasisWin rate · lifetime55 / 94 vs 101 / 20558.5%49.3%55 / 94 vs 101 / 205Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HlawatschkeVesely 1.91/Hlawatschke 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hlawatschke · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vesely won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 18 · 01:30M. Vesely—913148113A. Hlawatschke—1111121192
M. Vesely10
WAug 31 · 13:29M. Vesely1.40117116143M. Vedmoch2.75511711122WAug 31 · 12:00M. Vesely1.801111153M. Vedmoch1.9177130WAug 31 · 11:30J. Trefny2.20111111572M. Vesely1.61137911113WAug 31 · 10:00M. Vesely2.2013711163D. Tuma1.6111119141WAug 26 · 12:58M. Vesely1.5771111113M. Vedmoch2.25118891WAug 26 · 12:30M. Vesely1.671111113M. Vedmoch2.109970LAug 26 · 11:00M. Vesely1.9166111132J. Stolfa1.80111184113LAug 26 · 10:00D. Tuma1.7311118113M. Vesely2.00371181LAug 25 · 02:58M. Vesely1.809360D. Tuma1.911111113LAug 25 · 01:30M. Vesely2.20115111142F. Just1.61911137113
A. Hlawatschke10
WAug 25 · 03:28A. Hlawatschke1.3671111113R. Krejci3.00118981WAug 25 · 02:00R. Krejci3.25139111332A. Hlawatschke1.331111915113WAug 25 · 24:30A. Hlawatschke1.91131110113M. Vesely1.801181281WAug 24 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke2.3871111113F. Just1.53115791WAug 24 · 22:00D. Tuma2.001341061A. Hlawatschke1.73111112113WAug 18 · 03:28T. Janata1.539711111A. Hlawatschke2.3811117133WAug 18 · 02:30A. Hlawatschke1.501111133M. Nohejl2.5096110WAug 18 · 24:00A. Hlawatschke1.3371111123R. Krejci3.251169101LAug 17 · 23:00T. Janata1.53911118113A. Hlawatschke2.3811771152LAug 14 · 03:00P. Pycha1.8311116113A. Hlawatschke1.83391111
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.