TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12444114
Played Aug 17Finished
Tomas Janata
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911117117811115
Ales Hlawatschke
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:12 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Janata to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Janata above · Ales Hlawatschke below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 91 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Tomas Janata at 60.8%
91 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Janata 5–4 Ales Hlawatschke Ales Hlawatschke has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:12What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Janata
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Janata 1660 vs Hlawatschke 1519
Janata
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Janata 80% vs Hlawatschke 40%
Janata
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Janata 80% vs Hlawatschke 20%
Janata
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Janata +2 · Hlawatschke -3
Hlawatschke
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Janata) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Janata form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJanata 1.53 / Hlawatschke 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Janata)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12444114
Janata1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 105 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it90% 46 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it78% 74 of 95
Hlawatschke2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 10 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back23% 3 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeJanata5wins
AwayHlawatschke4wins
4 of 9 to a deciderJanata leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJanata50%3 of 6
AwayHlawatschke33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Janata6Hlawatschke3n = 9Janata took 6 of 9
S2Janata6Hlawatschke3n = 9Janata took 6 of 9
S3Janata4Hlawatschke5n = 9Hlawatschke took 5 of 9
S4Janata2Hlawatschke4n = 6Hlawatschke took 4 of 6
S5Janata2Hlawatschke2n = 4split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricJanataHlawatschkeJ − HBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match39.237.6+1.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJanataHlawatschkeBasisWin rate · lifetime441 / 830 vs 100 / 20353.1%49.3%441 / 830 vs 100 / 203Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataJanata 1.53/Hlawatschke 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.8%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Janata won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 17 · 23:00T. Janata—911118113A. Hlawatschke—11771152
WAug 11 · 24:00T. Janata—91311113A. Hlawatschke—1111541
LApr 28 · 01:00T. Janata—11811152A. Hlawatschke—811115113
WMar 18 · 02:00T. Janata—1111123A. Hlawatschke—97100
WFeb 6 · 03:00T. Janata—1111113A. Hlawatschke—7890
LFeb 5 · 04:30T. Janata—11159562A. Hlawatschke—8131111113
LFeb 5 · 02:30T. Janata—10890A. Hlawatschke—1211113
WJan 6 · 23:00T. Janata—1111114113A. Hlawatschke—67131162
LDec 14 · 23:00T. Janata—116991A. Hlawatschke—61111113
T. Janata10
LSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113LSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682WSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721LSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102WSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113WSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113WSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113LSep 4 · 22:30T. Janata2.00119891R. Krejci1.7381111113WSep 1 · 03:00T. Janata1.801211113D. Kouble1.9110540
A. Hlawatschke10
WAug 25 · 03:28A. Hlawatschke1.3671111113R. Krejci3.00118981WAug 25 · 02:00R. Krejci3.25139111332A. Hlawatschke1.331111915113WAug 25 · 24:30A. Hlawatschke1.91131110113M. Vesely1.801181281WAug 24 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke2.3871111113F. Just1.53115791WAug 24 · 22:00D. Tuma2.001341061A. Hlawatschke1.73111112113WAug 18 · 03:28T. Janata1.539711111A. Hlawatschke2.3811117133WAug 18 · 02:30A. Hlawatschke1.501111133M. Nohejl2.5096110LAug 18 · 01:30M. Vesely1.91913148113A. Hlawatschke1.801111121192WAug 18 · 24:00A. Hlawatschke1.3371111123R. Krejci3.251169101LAug 14 · 03:00P. Pycha1.8311116113A. Hlawatschke1.83391111
Upcoming Matches
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A. Hlawatschke
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