TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12444274
Played Aug 18Finished
Ales Hlawatschke
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191161311––––
Matej Nohejl
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:43 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeAles Hlawatschke to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Hlawatschke above · Matej Nohejl below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 61 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Ales Hlawatschke at 66.3%
61 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:43What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hlawatschke
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Hlawatschke 1511 vs Nohejl 1530
Nohejl
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hlawatschke 20% vs Nohejl 60%
Nohejl
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hlawatschke 30% vs Nohejl 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hlawatschke -1 · Nohejl -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Hlawatschke) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHlawatschke 1.50 / Nohejl 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Hlawatschke)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12444274
Hlawatschke1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite44% won 7 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it44% 4 of 9
Nohejl2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 16 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHlawatschkeNohejlBasisWin rate · lifetime101 / 205 vs 108 / 22349.3%48.4%101 / 205 vs 108 / 223Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HlawatschkeHlawatschke 1.50/Nohejl 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Hlawatschke · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hlawatschke won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Hlawatschke10
WAug 25 · 03:28A. Hlawatschke1.3671111113R. Krejci3.00118981WAug 25 · 02:00R. Krejci3.25139111332A. Hlawatschke1.331111915113WAug 25 · 24:30A. Hlawatschke1.91131110113M. Vesely1.801181281WAug 24 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke2.3871111113F. Just1.53115791WAug 24 · 22:00D. Tuma2.001341061A. Hlawatschke1.73111112113WAug 18 · 03:28T. Janata1.539711111A. Hlawatschke2.3811117133LAug 18 · 01:30M. Vesely1.91913148113A. Hlawatschke1.801111121192WAug 18 · 24:00A. Hlawatschke1.3371111123R. Krejci3.251169101LAug 17 · 23:00T. Janata1.53911118113A. Hlawatschke2.3811771152LAug 14 · 03:00P. Pycha1.8311116113A. Hlawatschke1.83391111
M. Nohejl10
WAug 30 · 21:28M. Vizek1.80341171M. Nohejl1.9111118113LAug 30 · 20:00M. Vizek1.73511611113M. Nohejl2.0011811772WAug 30 · 19:00T. Vinter2.758150M. Nohejl1.401111113WAug 30 · 18:30M. Nohejl1.531111113T. Janata2.385450WAug 30 · 17:29M. Nohejl1.4411117113T. Janata2.63631131WAug 30 · 16:30M. Nohejl1.731111113P. Budinsky2.008570WAug 30 · 15:00M. Nohejl1.5711119113T. Janata2.25791151WAug 30 · 14:00D. Tuma1.8351221272M. Nohejl1.8311101110113WAug 26 · 17:30M. Nohejl1.7561111113T. Janata1.90118931WAug 26 · 16:30T. Vinter2.2081040M. Nohejl1.611112113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.