TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13000528
Played Aug 24Finished
Daniel Tuma
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
13114111012611––
Ales Hlawatschke
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAles Hlawatschke to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Ales Hlawatschke below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 78 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Ales Hlawatschke at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tuma 7–13 Ales Hlawatschke Daniel Tuma has won 7 of their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:11What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hlawatschke
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-13 in 20
Hlawatschke
Correct
gap of 6 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1598 vs Hlawatschke 1536
Tuma
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 80% vs Hlawatschke 60%
Tuma
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 60% vs Hlawatschke 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma +4 · Hlawatschke +2
Tuma
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hlawatschke) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 2.00 / Hlawatschke 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Hlawatschke)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13000528
Tuma2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 162 of 365
Down 0–1, comes back26% 51 of 195
Down 0–2, comes back10% 10 of 105
Hlawatschke1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite47% won 9 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it46% 5 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuma5wins
AwayHlawatschke5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuma80%4 of 5
AwayHlawatschke80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma5Hlawatschke5n = 10split evenly
S2Tuma2Hlawatschke8n = 10Hlawatschke took 8 of 10
S3Tuma4Hlawatschke6n = 10Hlawatschke took 6 of 10
S4Tuma5Hlawatschke3n = 8Tuma took 5 of 8
S5Tuma4Hlawatschke2n = 6Tuma took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTumaHlawatschkeT − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.342.7−1.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaHlawatschkeBasisWin rate · lifetime769 / 1474 vs 103 / 20752.2%49.8%769 / 1474 vs 103 / 207Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HlawatschkeTuma 2.00/Hlawatschke 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.7%
Hlawatschke · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hlawatschke won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 23:00D. Tuma—9101141A. Hlawatschke—11129113
WAug 11 · 01:00D. Tuma—1011511113A. Hlawatschke—12711982
WJan 29 · 24:00D. Tuma—1171112113A. Hlawatschke—911131082
WJan 23 · 24:00D. Tuma—11411113A. Hlawatschke—711931
WDec 16 · 03:30D. Tuma—119118143A. Hlawatschke—611911122
LNov 19 · 09:00D. Tuma—81030A. Hlawatschke—1112113
WNov 7 · 07:30D. Tuma—1111710113A. Hlawatschke—97111262
LNov 6 · 07:00D. Tuma—11651192A. Hlawatschke—911114113
LNov 5 · 04:30D. Tuma—1010111162A. Hlawatschke—121255113
LNov 5 · 24:30D. Tuma—13690A. Hlawatschke—1511113
D. Tuma10
WSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133WSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113WSep 3 · 18:30D. Tuma1.40111212113V. Postelt2.757101481WSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271WSep 3 · 16:00D. Tuma1.911111113J. Stolfa1.809770LSep 3 · 15:30M. Sobisek2.00118119133D. Tuma1.73411711112WSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WSep 1 · 21:28D. Tuma1.91128511113K. Kapras1.80101111492WSep 1 · 20:30D. Tuma2.20117117113K. Kapras1.6141161152
A. Hlawatschke10
WAug 25 · 03:28A. Hlawatschke1.3671111113R. Krejci3.00118981WAug 25 · 02:00R. Krejci3.25139111332A. Hlawatschke1.331111915113WAug 25 · 24:30A. Hlawatschke1.91131110113M. Vesely1.801181281WAug 24 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke2.3871111113F. Just1.53115791WAug 18 · 03:28T. Janata1.539711111A. Hlawatschke2.3811117133WAug 18 · 02:30A. Hlawatschke1.501111133M. Nohejl2.5096110LAug 18 · 01:30M. Vesely1.91913148113A. Hlawatschke1.801111121192WAug 18 · 24:00A. Hlawatschke1.3371111123R. Krejci3.251169101LAug 17 · 23:00T. Janata1.53911118113A. Hlawatschke2.3811771152LAug 14 · 03:00P. Pycha1.8311116113A. Hlawatschke1.83391111
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