TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12444284
Played Aug 18Finished
Ales Hlawatschke
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111161191210––
Richard Krejci
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:44 and never touched — 70.9% is still 70.9%
Graded at full timeAles Hlawatschke to win
70.9%
70.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Hlawatschke above · Richard Krejci below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 77 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Ales Hlawatschke at 70.9%
77 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:44What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Hlawatschke
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Hlawatschke 1519 vs Krejci 1479
Hlawatschke
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hlawatschke 20% vs Krejci 0%
Hlawatschke
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hlawatschke 20% vs Krejci 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hlawatschke -4 · Krejci -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Hlawatschke)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krejci form (0%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHlawatschke 1.33 / Krejci 3.25
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Hlawatschke)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12444284
Hlawatschke1.33
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite44% won 7 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it44% 4 of 9
Krejci3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 11 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHlawatschkeKrejciBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 203 vs 173 / 33449.3%51.8%100 / 203 vs 173 / 334Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HlawatschkeHlawatschke 1.33/Krejci 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.9%
Hlawatschke · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hlawatschke won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Hlawatschke10
WAug 25 · 03:28A. Hlawatschke1.3671111113R. Krejci3.00118981WAug 25 · 02:00R. Krejci3.25139111332A. Hlawatschke1.331111915113WAug 25 · 24:30A. Hlawatschke1.91131110113M. Vesely1.801181281WAug 24 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke2.3871111113F. Just1.53115791WAug 24 · 22:00D. Tuma2.001341061A. Hlawatschke1.73111112113WAug 18 · 03:28T. Janata1.539711111A. Hlawatschke2.3811117133WAug 18 · 02:30A. Hlawatschke1.501111133M. Nohejl2.5096110LAug 18 · 01:30M. Vesely1.91913148113A. Hlawatschke1.801111121192LAug 17 · 23:00T. Janata1.53911118113A. Hlawatschke2.3811771152LAug 14 · 03:00P. Pycha1.8311116113A. Hlawatschke1.83391111
R. Krejci10
WSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480LSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci1.809980V. Cermak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:00R. Krejci1.911111113M. Chlebecek1.808670WSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf1.5771260R. Krejci2.251114113WSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113WSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682LSep 6 · 19:00R. Krejci2.007680M. Volf1.731111113LAug 25 · 03:28A. Hlawatschke1.3671111113R. Krejci3.00118981LAug 25 · 02:00R. Krejci3.25139111332A. Hlawatschke1.331111915113
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