TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13001138
Played Aug 25Finished
Ales Hlawatschke
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
13111181012118––
Michal Vesely
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Vesely to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAles Hlawatschke above · Michal Vesely below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 84 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Michal Vesely at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Ales Hlawatschke 1–1 Michal Vesely Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:49What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vesely
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hlawatschke 1575 vs Vesely 1597
Vesely
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hlawatschke 80% vs Vesely 60%
Hlawatschke
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hlawatschke 50% vs Vesely 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hlawatschke +4 · Vesely +1
Hlawatschke
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vesely)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hlawatschke form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHlawatschke 1.91 / Vesely 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vesely)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13001138
Hlawatschke1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 11 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back23% 3 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Vesely1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 23 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHlawatschke1wins
AwayVesely1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHlawatschkeVeselyH − VBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match49.547.0+2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHlawatschkeVeselyBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 210 vs 59 / 10250.5%57.8%106 / 210 vs 59 / 102Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeselyHlawatschke 1.91/Vesely 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vesely · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hlawatschke won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 25 · 24:30A. Hlawatschke—131110113M. Vesely—1181281
LAug 18 · 01:30A. Hlawatschke—1111121192M. Vesely—913148113
A. Hlawatschke10
WAug 25 · 03:28A. Hlawatschke1.3671111113R. Krejci3.00118981WAug 25 · 02:00R. Krejci3.25139111332A. Hlawatschke1.331111915113WAug 24 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke2.3871111113F. Just1.53115791WAug 24 · 22:00D. Tuma2.001341061A. Hlawatschke1.73111112113WAug 18 · 03:28T. Janata1.539711111A. Hlawatschke2.3811117133WAug 18 · 02:30A. Hlawatschke1.501111133M. Nohejl2.5096110LAug 18 · 01:30M. Vesely1.91913148113A. Hlawatschke1.801111121192WAug 18 · 24:00A. Hlawatschke1.3371111123R. Krejci3.251169101LAug 17 · 23:00T. Janata1.53911118113A. Hlawatschke2.3811771152LAug 14 · 03:00P. Pycha1.8311116113A. Hlawatschke1.83391111
M. Vesely10
WAug 31 · 13:29M. Vesely1.40117116143M. Vedmoch2.75511711122WAug 31 · 12:00M. Vesely1.801111153M. Vedmoch1.9177130WAug 31 · 11:30J. Trefny2.20111111572M. Vesely1.61137911113WAug 31 · 10:00M. Vesely2.2013711163D. Tuma1.6111119141WAug 26 · 12:58M. Vesely1.5771111113M. Vedmoch2.25118891WAug 26 · 12:30M. Vesely1.671111113M. Vedmoch2.109970LAug 26 · 11:00M. Vesely1.9166111132J. Stolfa1.80111184113LAug 26 · 10:00D. Tuma1.7311118113M. Vesely2.00371181LAug 25 · 02:58M. Vesely1.809360D. Tuma1.911111113WAug 18 · 01:30M. Vesely1.91913148113A. Hlawatschke1.801111121192
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