TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13047551
Played Aug 31Finished
Michal Vesely
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
13117111191614––
Daniel Tuma
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:22 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeDaniel Tuma to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMichal Vesely above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 16-14
Point 92 set 4, 16-14 — our read held Daniel Tuma at 62.2%
92 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vesely 2–2 Daniel Tuma Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:22What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Tuma
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vesely 1566 vs Tuma 1599
Tuma
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vesely 40% vs Tuma 60%
Tuma
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vesely 30% vs Tuma 60%
Tuma
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vesely +2 · Tuma +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Tuma) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVesely 2.20 / Tuma 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Tuma)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13047551
Vesely2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog52% won 16 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back38% 6 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Tuma1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 144 of 243
Up 2–0, closes it93% 68 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it76% 109 of 143
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVesely2wins
AwayTuma2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vesely2Tuma2n = 4split evenly
S2Vesely2Tuma2n = 4split evenly
S3Vesely2Tuma2n = 4split evenly
S4Vesely2Tuma1n = 3Vesely took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricVeselyTumaV − TBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match37.238.0−0.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeselyTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime61 / 108 vs 769 / 147456.5%52.2%61 / 108 vs 769 / 1474Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TumaVesely 2.20/Tuma 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vesely won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 25 · 02:58M. Vesely—9360D. Tuma—1111113
WAug 24 · 23:30M. Vesely—11119113D. Tuma—881151
LAug 20 · 09:30M. Vesely—1111111062D. Tuma—138912113
WAug 20 · 06:30M. Vesely—11711113D. Tuma—911861
M. Vesely10
WAug 31 · 13:29M. Vesely1.40117116143M. Vedmoch2.75511711122WAug 31 · 12:00M. Vesely1.801111153M. Vedmoch1.9177130WAug 31 · 11:30J. Trefny2.20111111572M. Vesely1.61137911113WAug 26 · 12:58M. Vesely1.5771111113M. Vedmoch2.25118891WAug 26 · 12:30M. Vesely1.671111113M. Vedmoch2.109970LAug 26 · 11:00M. Vesely1.9166111132J. Stolfa1.80111184113LAug 26 · 10:00D. Tuma1.7311118113M. Vesely2.00371181LAug 25 · 02:58M. Vesely1.809360D. Tuma1.911111113LAug 25 · 01:30M. Vesely2.20115111142F. Just1.61911137113LAug 25 · 24:30A. Hlawatschke1.91131110113M. Vesely1.801181281
D. Tuma10
WSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133WSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113WSep 3 · 18:30D. Tuma1.40111212113V. Postelt2.757101481WSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271WSep 3 · 16:00D. Tuma1.911111113J. Stolfa1.809770LSep 3 · 15:30M. Sobisek2.00118119133D. Tuma1.73411711112WSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252WAug 26 · 10:00D. Tuma1.7311118113M. Vesely2.00371181WAug 25 · 02:58M. Vesely1.809360D. Tuma1.911111113
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