TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13009991
Played Aug 25Finished
Michal Vesely
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911311611––––
Daniel Tuma
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMichal Vesely above · Daniel Tuma below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 51 set 3, 6-11
51 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vesely 2–1 Daniel Tuma Daniel Tuma has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vesely)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVesely 1.80 / Tuma 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vesely)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13009991
Vesely1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 23 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Tuma1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 162 of 365
Down 0–1, comes back26% 51 of 195
Down 0–2, comes back10% 10 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeVesely2wins
AwayTuma1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderVesely leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vesely2Tuma1n = 3Vesely took 2 of 3
S2Vesely2Tuma1n = 3Vesely took 2 of 3
S3Vesely2Tuma1n = 3Vesely took 2 of 3
S4Vesely2Tuma1n = 3Vesely took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricVeselyTumaV − TBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match43.739.7+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeselyTumaBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 103 vs 770 / 147857.3%52.1%59 / 103 vs 770 / 1478Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeselyVesely 1.80/Tuma 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vesely · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 24 · 23:30M. Vesely—11119113D. Tuma—881151
LAug 20 · 09:30M. Vesely—1111111062D. Tuma—138912113
WAug 20 · 06:30M. Vesely—11711113D. Tuma—911861
M. Vesely10
WAug 31 · 13:29M. Vesely1.40117116143M. Vedmoch2.75511711122WAug 31 · 12:00M. Vesely1.801111153M. Vedmoch1.9177130WAug 31 · 11:30J. Trefny2.20111111572M. Vesely1.61137911113WAug 31 · 10:00M. Vesely2.2013711163D. Tuma1.6111119141WAug 26 · 12:58M. Vesely1.5771111113M. Vedmoch2.25118891WAug 26 · 12:30M. Vesely1.671111113M. Vedmoch2.109970LAug 26 · 11:00M. Vesely1.9166111132J. Stolfa1.80111184113LAug 26 · 10:00D. Tuma1.7311118113M. Vesely2.00371181LAug 25 · 01:30M. Vesely2.20115111142F. Just1.61911137113LAug 25 · 24:30A. Hlawatschke1.91131110113M. Vesely1.801181281
D. Tuma10
WSep 3 · 21:30D. Tuma1.521111113V. Postelt2.356960WSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133WSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113WSep 3 · 18:30D. Tuma1.40111212113V. Postelt2.757101481WSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271WSep 3 · 16:00D. Tuma1.911111113J. Stolfa1.809770LSep 3 · 15:30M. Sobisek2.00118119133D. Tuma1.73411711112WSep 3 · 14:00D. Tuma2.008111510113J. Hradecky1.73118131252LAug 31 · 10:00M. Vesely2.2013711163D. Tuma1.6111119141WAug 26 · 10:00D. Tuma1.7311118113M. Vesely2.00371181
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