TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13013837
Played Aug 26Finished
Michal Vesely
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119117––––
Michal Vedmoch
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Vesely to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Vesely above · Michal Vedmoch below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 58 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Michal Vesely at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vesely 2–2 Michal Vedmoch Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:26What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vesely
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vesely 1532 vs Vedmoch 1507
Vesely
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vesely 0% vs Vedmoch 40%
Vedmoch
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vesely 30% vs Vedmoch 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vesely -5 · Vedmoch -2
Vesely
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vesely) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vesely form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVesely 1.67 / Vedmoch 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Vesely)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13013837
Vesely1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 23 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Vedmoch2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 127 of 275
Down 0–1, comes back22% 29 of 135
Down 0–2, comes back10% 8 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVesely2wins
AwayVedmoch2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vesely2Vedmoch2n = 4split evenly
S2Vesely2Vedmoch2n = 4split evenly
S3Vesely2Vedmoch2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricVeselyVedmochVesely − VedmochBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match30.830.2+0.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeselyVedmochBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 106 vs 678 / 127355.7%53.3%59 / 106 vs 678 / 1273Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeselyVesely 1.67/Vedmoch 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Vesely · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vesely won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 6 · 09:26M. Vesely—8680M. Vedmoch—1111113
WAug 6 · 06:30M. Vesely—12115113M. Vedmoch—1031161
WJun 11 · 16:00M. Vesely—1111113M. Vedmoch—1690
LFeb 3 · 15:30M. Vesely—741171M. Vedmoch—11119113
M. Vesely10
WAug 31 · 13:29M. Vesely1.40117116143M. Vedmoch2.75511711122WAug 31 · 12:00M. Vesely1.801111153M. Vedmoch1.9177130WAug 31 · 11:30J. Trefny2.20111111572M. Vesely1.61137911113WAug 31 · 10:00M. Vesely2.2013711163D. Tuma1.6111119141WAug 26 · 12:58M. Vesely1.5771111113M. Vedmoch2.25118891LAug 26 · 11:00M. Vesely1.9166111132J. Stolfa1.80111184113LAug 26 · 10:00D. Tuma1.7311118113M. Vesely2.00371181LAug 25 · 02:58M. Vesely1.809360D. Tuma1.911111113LAug 25 · 01:30M. Vesely2.20115111142F. Just1.61911137113LAug 25 · 24:30A. Hlawatschke1.91131110113M. Vesely1.801181281
M. Vedmoch10
WSep 4 · 03:30J. Trefny1.909960M. Vedmoch1.801111113WSep 4 · 02:30J. Dedek2.385650M. Vedmoch1.531111113WSep 4 · 01:00J. Plachy2.20411681M. Vedmoch1.6111611113LSep 3 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.571110111252J. Trefny2.25812814113WSep 3 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.801111123J. Prokupek1.9144100WSep 3 · 13:29J. Plachy2.107650M. Vedmoch1.671111113LSep 3 · 12:00J. Plachy2.2091111113M. Vedmoch1.61117941LAug 31 · 13:29M. Vesely1.40117116143M. Vedmoch2.75511711122LAug 31 · 12:00M. Vesely1.801111153M. Vedmoch1.9177130LAug 26 · 12:58M. Vesely1.5771111113M. Vedmoch2.25118891
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