TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13000517
Played Aug 25Finished
Richard Krejci
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13119111191315311
Ales Hlawatschke
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:09 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeRichard Krejci to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRichard Krejci above · Ales Hlawatschke below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 13-15
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 106 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Richard Krejci at 59.8%
106 points played in total.
H2H Richard Krejci 0–1 Ales Hlawatschke Richard Krejci has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:09What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Hlawatschke
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krejci 1588 vs Hlawatschke 1575
Krejci
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krejci 80% vs Hlawatschke 100%
Hlawatschke
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krejci 80% vs Hlawatschke 60%
Krejci
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krejci +3 · Hlawatschke +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Hlawatschke) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hlawatschke form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrejci 3.25 / Hlawatschke 1.33
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Hlawatschke)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13000517
Krejci3.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog31% won 13 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Hlawatschke1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite47% won 9 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it46% 5 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKrejci0wins
AwayHlawatschke1wins
Hlawatschke leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKrejciHlawatschkeK − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match36.041.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrejciHlawatschkeBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 341 vs 106 / 21053.1%50.5%181 / 341 vs 106 / 210Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HlawatschkeKrejci 3.25/Hlawatschke 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.9%
Hlawatschke · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hlawatschke won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 18 · 24:00R. Krejci—1169101A. Hlawatschke—71111123
R. Krejci10
WSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480LSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 24:30R. Krejci1.809980V. Cermak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:00R. Krejci1.911111113M. Chlebecek1.808670WSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf1.5771260R. Krejci2.251114113WSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113WSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682LSep 6 · 19:00R. Krejci2.007680M. Volf1.731111113LSep 6 · 18:00M. Vizek1.5061111113R. Krejci2.50118861LSep 5 · 03:28S. Kadavy1.5711811113R. Krejci2.25611491
A. Hlawatschke10
WAug 25 · 03:28A. Hlawatschke1.3671111113R. Krejci3.00118981WAug 25 · 24:30A. Hlawatschke1.91131110113M. Vesely1.801181281WAug 24 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke2.3871111113F. Just1.53115791WAug 24 · 22:00D. Tuma2.001341061A. Hlawatschke1.73111112113WAug 18 · 03:28T. Janata1.539711111A. Hlawatschke2.3811117133WAug 18 · 02:30A. Hlawatschke1.501111133M. Nohejl2.5096110LAug 18 · 01:30M. Vesely1.91913148113A. Hlawatschke1.801111121192WAug 18 · 24:00A. Hlawatschke1.3371111123R. Krejci3.251169101LAug 17 · 23:00T. Janata1.53911118113A. Hlawatschke2.3811771152LAug 14 · 03:00P. Pycha1.8311116113A. Hlawatschke1.83391111
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