Patrik Pycha vs Ales Hlawatschke 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #12429847

Played Aug 14Finished

Patrik Pycha

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

113119611111––

Ales Hlawatschke

Away

1.83

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 2

How it is goingPatrik Pycha above · Ales Hlawatschke below

Set 1 · 11-3

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 6-11

Set 4 · 11-1

Point 63 set 4, 11-1

63 points played in total.

H2H Patrik Pycha 15–23 Ales Hlawatschke Patrik Pycha has won 15 of their 38 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hlawatschke)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Hlawatschke form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPycha 1.83 / Hlawatschke 1.83

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Hlawatschke)+4.0pp

Czech Liga Pro · #12429847

Pycha1.83

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Hlawatschke1.83

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomePycha5wins

AwayHlawatschke5wins

5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomePycha62.5%5 of 8

AwayHlawatschken = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Pycha8Hlawatschke2n = 10Pycha took 8 of 10

S2Pycha3Hlawatschke7n = 10Hlawatschke took 7 of 10

S3Pycha5Hlawatschke5n = 10split evenly

S4Pycha5Hlawatschke4n = 9Pycha took 5 of 9

S5Pycha2Hlawatschke3n = 5Hlawatschke took 3 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricPychaHlawatschkeP − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.340.8+0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPychaHlawatschkeBasisWin rate · lifetime512 / 973 vs 100 / 20152.6%49.8%512 / 973 vs 100 / 201Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Hlawatschke

Pycha 1.83/Hlawatschke 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Hlawatschke · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Pycha won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LAug 13 · 22:00P. Pycha—631311102A. Hlawatschke—1111115123

LJul 7 · 02:00P. Pycha—119971A. Hlawatschke—51111113

LFeb 6 · 02:00P. Pycha—11411782A. Hlawatschke—411911113

WJan 23 · 04:00P. Pycha—11511113A. Hlawatschke—511791

WJan 22 · 23:00P. Pycha—11118113A. Hlawatschke—981191

LJan 7 · 23:00P. Pycha—1110971A. Hlawatschke—51211113

WDec 15 · 23:00P. Pycha—1111114113A. Hlawatschke—87131192

LDec 15 · 02:00P. Pycha—143111182A. Hlawatschke—161157113

WDec 11 · 10:30P. Pycha—119511113A. Hlawatschke—71111592

WDec 11 · 07:30P. Pycha—1111133A. Hlawatschke—59110

P. Pycha10

LSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372 LSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci2.501211113P. Pycha1.5010350 LSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113 LSep 4 · 23:00P. Pycha2.0057150S. Kadavy1.731111173 WSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113 LAug 29 · 02:58T. Janata1.9111118113P. Pycha1.80771171 WAug 29 · 02:00P. Budinsky2.20771121P. Pycha1.6111118113 LAug 29 · 24:30P. Pycha1.91712111482T. Janata1.801114812113 LAug 28 · 23:00P. Pycha2.009111111112S. Kadavy1.73111369133 LAug 28 · 22:00D. Tuma2.1091111133P. Pycha1.671186111

A. Hlawatschke10

WAug 25 · 03:28A. Hlawatschke1.3671111113R. Krejci3.00118981 WAug 25 · 02:00R. Krejci3.25139111332A. Hlawatschke1.331111915113 WAug 25 · 24:30A. Hlawatschke1.91131110113M. Vesely1.801181281 WAug 24 · 23:00A. Hlawatschke2.3871111113F. Just1.53115791 WAug 24 · 22:00D. Tuma2.001341061A. Hlawatschke1.73111112113 WAug 18 · 03:28T. Janata1.539711111A. Hlawatschke2.3811117133 WAug 18 · 02:30A. Hlawatschke1.501111133M. Nohejl2.5096110 LAug 18 · 01:30M. Vesely1.91913148113A. Hlawatschke1.801111121192 WAug 18 · 24:00A. Hlawatschke1.3371111123R. Krejci3.251169101 LAug 17 · 23:00T. Janata1.53911118113A. Hlawatschke2.3811771152

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