TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13030400
Played Aug 29Finished
Petr Budinsky
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711711118211––
Patrik Pycha
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:20 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timePatrik Pycha to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Budinsky above · Patrik Pycha below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 68 set 4, 2-11 — our read held Patrik Pycha at 59.7%
68 points played in total.
H2H Petr Budinsky 2–5 Patrik Pycha Petr Budinsky has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:20What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Pycha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Pycha
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Budinsky 1533 vs Pycha 1632
Pycha
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Budinsky 20% vs Pycha 40%
Pycha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Budinsky 60% vs Pycha 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Budinsky -3 · Pycha -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Pycha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pycha form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBudinsky 2.20 / Pycha 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Pycha)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13030400
Budinsky2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 15 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Pycha1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 74 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it94% 44 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it77% 56 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeBudinsky2wins
AwayPycha5wins
Pycha leads 5–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBudinsky66.7%2 of 3
AwayPycha100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Budinsky3Pycha4n = 7Pycha took 4 of 7
S2Budinsky4Pycha3n = 7Budinsky took 4 of 7
S3Budinsky3Pycha4n = 7Pycha took 4 of 7
S4Budinsky1Pycha5n = 6Pycha took 5 of 6
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away571%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricBudinskyPychaB − PBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match33.636.9−3.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBudinskyPychaBasisWin rate · lifetime72 / 141 vs 493 / 94351.1%52.3%72 / 141 vs 493 / 943Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PychaBudinsky 2.20/Pycha 1.61
Hit
What we said
60.1%
Pycha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pycha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 29 · 02:00P. Budinsky—771121P. Pycha—11118113
WJul 31 · 22:00P. Budinsky—11117113P. Pycha—541191
LJun 6 · 22:00P. Budinsky—1161191P. Pycha—91113113
WMar 1 · 03:00P. Budinsky—1211113P. Pycha—10650
LJan 12 · 04:02P. Budinsky—671161P. Pycha—11117113
LJan 12 · 03:30P. Budinsky—911891P. Pycha—11811113
LDec 20 · 16:30P. Budinsky—811561P. Pycha—11911113
P. Budinsky10
LAug 30 · 16:58D. Tuma1.5311116113P. Budinsky2.38801131LAug 30 · 16:30M. Nohejl1.731111113P. Budinsky2.008570WAug 30 · 15:30P. Budinsky2.5011118113D. Tuma1.50691171LAug 30 · 14:30T. Janata1.3311118113P. Budinsky3.25891151LAug 30 · 08:58P. Budinsky2.208290J. Svoboda1.611111113LAug 30 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.73118611113P. Budinsky2.0071111872WAug 30 · 07:30P. Budinsky1.83111178113J. Hradecky1.8347111192LAug 30 · 06:30J. Stolfa1.7381111113P. Budinsky2.00114991LAug 29 · 16:58P. Budinsky1.40115391J. Pozarsky2.7571111113LAug 29 · 16:30P. Budinsky1.73116671T. Vinter2.0091111113
P. Pycha10
LSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 02:00R. Krejci2.501211113P. Pycha1.5010350LSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113LSep 4 · 23:00P. Pycha2.0057150S. Kadavy1.731111173WSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113LAug 29 · 02:58T. Janata1.9111118113P. Pycha1.80771171LAug 29 · 24:30P. Pycha1.91712111482T. Janata1.801114812113LAug 28 · 23:00P. Pycha2.009111111112S. Kadavy1.73111369133LAug 28 · 22:00D. Tuma2.1091111133P. Pycha1.671186111WAug 15 · 03:30P. Pycha1.9531111113D. Tuma1.75117881
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