TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13035885
Played Aug 29Finished
Petr Budinsky
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119611611711––
Tomas Vinter
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:19 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timePetr Budinsky to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPetr Budinsky above · Tomas Vinter below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 72 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Petr Budinsky at 56.5%
72 points played in total.
H2H Petr Budinsky 1–1 Tomas Vinter Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:19What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Budinsky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Budinsky 1531 vs Vinter 1474
Budinsky
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Budinsky 20% vs Vinter 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Budinsky 40% vs Vinter 20%
Budinsky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Budinsky -1 · Vinter +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Budinsky) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vinter form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBudinsky 1.73 / Vinter 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Budinsky)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13035885
Budinsky1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 29 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it80% 16 of 20
Vinter2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 43 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back18% 12 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBudinsky1wins
AwayVinter1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricBudinskyVinterB − VBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match26.524.5+2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBudinskyVinterBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 143 vs 267 / 52451.1%51%73 / 143 vs 267 / 524Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BudinskyBudinsky 1.73/Vinter 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Budinsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vinter won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJun 7 · 15:00P. Budinsky—9650T. Vinter—1111113
WMay 23 · 16:00P. Budinsky—1111113T. Vinter—4840
P. Budinsky10
LAug 30 · 16:58D. Tuma1.5311116113P. Budinsky2.38801131LAug 30 · 16:30M. Nohejl1.731111113P. Budinsky2.008570WAug 30 · 15:30P. Budinsky2.5011118113D. Tuma1.50691171LAug 30 · 14:30T. Janata1.3311118113P. Budinsky3.25891151LAug 30 · 08:58P. Budinsky2.208290J. Svoboda1.611111113LAug 30 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.73118611113P. Budinsky2.0071111872WAug 30 · 07:30P. Budinsky1.83111178113J. Hradecky1.8347111192LAug 30 · 06:30J. Stolfa1.7381111113P. Budinsky2.00114991LAug 29 · 16:58P. Budinsky1.40115391J. Pozarsky2.7571111113LAug 29 · 15:00P. Budinsky2.38311451D. Tuma1.5311511113
T. Vinter10
LSep 3 · 21:00M. Sedlak1.611211113T. Vinter2.2010990LSep 3 · 20:30T. Vinter1.738280V. Postelt2.001111113LSep 3 · 19:00T. Vinter1.9141181182D. Tuma1.80111119113LSep 3 · 18:00M. Sedlak1.80121111113T. Vinter1.911013251LSep 1 · 21:12J. Dedek2.1511118113T. Vinter1.63221121LSep 1 · 20:00T. Vinter1.5010340M. Vedmoch2.501211113WSep 1 · 19:30J. Dedek2.20119511112T. Vinter1.61911118133LSep 1 · 18:00T. Vinter1.36861181M. Kolar3.0011119113WAug 30 · 20:59T. Vinter2.251111123T. Janata1.5795100WAug 30 · 20:30T. Vinter3.001112123T. Janata1.36410100
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.