TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13040718
Played Aug 30Finished
Tomas Janata
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118119811115––
Petr Budinsky
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:59 and never touched — 70.9% is still 70.9%
Graded at full timeTomas Janata to win
70.9%
70.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Janata above · Petr Budinsky below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 74 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Tomas Janata at 70.9%
74 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Janata 6–1 Petr Budinsky Petr Budinsky has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:59What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Janata
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Janata
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Janata 1634 vs Budinsky 1484
Janata
Correct
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Janata 60% vs Budinsky 20%
Janata
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Janata 50% vs Budinsky 20%
Janata
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Janata +1 · Budinsky -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Janata) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Budinsky form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJanata 1.33 / Budinsky 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Janata)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13040718
Janata1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite65% won 111 of 171
Up 2–0, closes it93% 49 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it78% 77 of 99
Budinsky3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 16 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back6% 1 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeJanata6wins
AwayBudinsky1wins
Janata leads 6–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJanata85.7%6 of 7
AwayBudinskyn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Janata7Budinsky0n = 7Janata took 7 of 7
S2Janata6Budinsky1n = 7Janata took 6 of 7
S3Janata3Budinsky4n = 7Budinsky took 4 of 7
S4Janata3Budinsky1n = 4Janata took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricJanataBudinskyJ − BBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set70+7of 7Avg pointsper match36.727.6+9.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJanataBudinskyBasisWin rate · lifetime428 / 815 vs 74 / 14952.5%49.7%428 / 815 vs 74 / 149Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.835.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataJanata 1.33/Budinsky 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.9%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Janata won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 28 · 22:30T. Janata—11118113P. Budinsky—691181
WJun 6 · 23:00T. Janata—1111113P. Budinsky—6360
WApr 8 · 16:00T. Janata—1211113P. Budinsky—10350
WMar 1 · 01:00T. Janata—11117123P. Budinsky—4811101
WJan 31 · 17:30T. Janata—111553P. Budinsky—11340
WDec 24 · 24:30T. Janata—11118113P. Budinsky—881151
LDec 21 · 15:30T. Janata—1110781P. Budinsky—91211113
T. Janata10
LSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113LSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682WSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721LSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102WSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113WSep 5 · 24:30P. Pycha1.9151112592T. Janata1.801131011113WSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113LSep 4 · 22:30T. Janata2.00119891R. Krejci1.7381111113WSep 1 · 03:00T. Janata1.801211113D. Kouble1.9110540
P. Budinsky10
LAug 30 · 16:58D. Tuma1.5311116113P. Budinsky2.38801131LAug 30 · 16:30M. Nohejl1.731111113P. Budinsky2.008570WAug 30 · 15:30P. Budinsky2.5011118113D. Tuma1.50691171LAug 30 · 08:58P. Budinsky2.208290J. Svoboda1.611111113LAug 30 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.73118611113P. Budinsky2.0071111872WAug 30 · 07:30P. Budinsky1.83111178113J. Hradecky1.8347111192LAug 30 · 06:30J. Stolfa1.7381111113P. Budinsky2.00114991LAug 29 · 16:58P. Budinsky1.40115391J. Pozarsky2.7571111113LAug 29 · 16:30P. Budinsky1.73116671T. Vinter2.0091111113LAug 29 · 15:00P. Budinsky2.38311451D. Tuma1.5311511113
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