TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082790
Played Sep 7Finished
Marek Chlebecek
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811114116118––
Matej Volf
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:29 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeMarek Chlebecek to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Chlebecek above · Matej Volf below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 70 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Marek Chlebecek at 62.4%
70 points played in total.
H2H Marek Chlebecek 8–3 Matej Volf Matej Volf has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:29What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Chlebecek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-3 in 11
Chlebecek
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chlebecek 1586 vs Volf 1556
Chlebecek
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chlebecek 60% vs Volf 40%
Chlebecek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chlebecek 60% vs Volf 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chlebecek +2 · Volf +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Chlebecek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChlebecek 1.53 / Volf 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Chlebecek)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082790
Chlebecek1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 34 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it71% 27 of 38
Volf2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 31 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back28% 12 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChlebecek8wins
AwayVolf2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderChlebecek leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChlebecek77.8%7 of 9
AwayVolfn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chlebecek9Volf1n = 10Chlebecek took 9 of 10
S2Chlebecek7Volf3n = 10Chlebecek took 7 of 10
S3Chlebecek7Volf3n = 10Chlebecek took 7 of 10
S4Chlebecek1Volf5n = 6Volf took 5 of 6
S5Chlebecek3Volf1n = 4Chlebecek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricChlebecekVolfC − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match41.536.3+5.2per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChlebecekVolfBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 232 vs 207 / 40147.8%51.6%111 / 232 vs 207 / 401Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChlebecekChlebecek 1.53/Volf 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Chlebecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chlebecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 20 · 01:00M. Chlebecek—1111113M. Volf—9850
WJun 8 · 24:30M. Chlebecek—117127113M. Volf—511101152
WJun 7 · 21:00M. Chlebecek—711146133M. Volf—1191211112
WJun 7 · 19:00M. Chlebecek—1111113M. Volf—6580
LApr 22 · 17:01M. Chlebecek—11818782M. Volf—9111611113
LApr 22 · 16:00M. Chlebecek—1158101M. Volf—41111123
WApr 5 · 20:59M. Chlebecek—111299113M. Volf—710111192
WApr 5 · 18:30M. Chlebecek—1115113M. Volf—51350
WMar 23 · 04:28M. Chlebecek—11118113M. Volf—481191
WMar 22 · 23:30M. Chlebecek—1112113M. Volf—91080
M. Chlebecek10
WSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101WSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak1.73101191182M. Chlebecek2.00129113113WSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890LSep 6 · 23:00R. Krejci1.911111113M. Chlebecek1.808670LSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172WSep 6 · 20:00M. Chlebecek2.209111610113V. Cermak1.61116141272WSep 6 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.005811101M. Chlebecek1.7311117123LSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113WSep 2 · 03:30M. Regner1.91911681M. Chlebecek1.8011511113LSep 2 · 02:00M. Chlebecek1.838680J. Hradecky1.831111113
M. Volf10
WSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113LSep 6 · 23:30M. Volf1.618860V. Cermak2.201111113LSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf1.5771260R. Krejci2.251114113WSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf1.93117118113M. Vizek1.7751191192LSep 6 · 20:00M. Vizek1.8312101411123M. Volf1.831412126102WSep 6 · 19:00R. Krejci2.007680M. Volf1.731111113WSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102LAug 11 · 01:30M. Sobisek1.501111113M. Volf2.506920WAug 11 · 24:00M. Volf1.6791311113A. Hlawatschke2.101111541WAug 10 · 23:00P. Zmuda1.9134120M. Volf1.801111143
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