TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13062178
Played Sep 2Finished
Michal Regner
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911115611811––
Marek Chlebecek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:03 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMichal Regner to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMichal Regner above · Marek Chlebecek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 72 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Michal Regner at 54.9%
72 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:03What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Chlebecek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Regner 1656 vs Chlebecek 1555
Regner
Wrong
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 80% vs Chlebecek 60%
Regner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 50% vs Chlebecek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner +1 · Chlebecek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chlebecek) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Regner form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.91 / Chlebecek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chlebecek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13062178
Regner1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 113 of 257
Down 0–1, comes back22% 29 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 78
Chlebecek1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite58% won 42 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it75% 33 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerChlebecekBasisWin rate · lifetime516 / 1066 vs 110 / 23248.4%47.4%516 / 1066 vs 110 / 232Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChlebecekRegner 1.91/Chlebecek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Chlebecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chlebecek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Regner10
WSep 6 · 02:59M. Pikous1.738860M. Regner2.001111113WSep 6 · 02:30M. Sychra1.73511931M. Regner2.0011711113LSep 6 · 01:00J. Tazler2.5011811113M. Regner1.50511551LSep 5 · 23:30M. Regner2.25118511102K. Schopf1.57511117123LSep 5 · 22:00M. Regner2.00115861M. Pikous1.7381111113LSep 4 · 09:30M. Vondrak1.5711155113M. Regner2.259131161LSep 4 · 08:30M. Regner2.10118871M. Vondrak1.6791111113WSep 4 · 07:00M. Regner1.73117913113D. Hofman2.00911111162WSep 4 · 06:00J. Stolfa2.204980M. Regner1.611111113WSep 3 · 09:28M. Regner2.2011128113M. Klement1.617101141
M. Chlebecek10
WSep 7 · 03:30M. Chlebecek1.9091111123V. Cermak1.801159101WSep 7 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5381111113M. Volf2.38114681WSep 7 · 01:30V. Cermak1.73101191182M. Chlebecek2.00129113113WSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890LSep 6 · 23:00R. Krejci1.911111113M. Chlebecek1.808670LSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172WSep 6 · 20:00M. Chlebecek2.209111610113V. Cermak1.61116141272WSep 6 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.005811101M. Chlebecek1.7311117123LSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113LSep 2 · 02:00M. Chlebecek1.838680J. Hradecky1.831111113
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