TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12390947
Played Aug 11Finished
Martin Sobisek
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119112––––
Matej Volf
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:07 and never touched — 65.5% is still 65.5%
Graded at full timeMartin Sobisek to win
65.5%
65.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sobisek above · Matej Volf below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 50 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Martin Sobisek at 65.5%
50 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sobisek 13–7 Matej Volf Matej Volf has won 7 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:07What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Sobisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-7 in 20
Sobisek
Correct
gap of 6 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobisek 1557 vs Volf 1537
Sobisek
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobisek 60% vs Volf 100%
Volf
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobisek 40% vs Volf 60%
Volf
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobisek +1 · Volf +5
Volf
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Sobisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volf form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobisek 1.50 / Volf 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 35%
Edge (Sobisek)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12390947
Sobisek1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 95 of 176
Up 2–0, closes it98% 52 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it75% 70 of 94
Volf2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 31 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back28% 12 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobisek7wins
AwayVolf3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSobisek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobisek100%6 of 6
AwayVolf75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobisek6Volf4n = 10Sobisek took 6 of 10
S2Sobisek7Volf3n = 10Sobisek took 7 of 10
S3Sobisek7Volf3n = 10Sobisek took 7 of 10
S4Sobisek3Volf2n = 5Sobisek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobisekVolfS − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.233.2+5.0per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobisekVolfBasisWin rate · lifetime539 / 1157 vs 208 / 40146.6%51.9%539 / 1157 vs 208 / 401Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobisekSobisek 1.50/Volf 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.5%
Sobisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sobisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 21 · 22:30M. Sobisek—1111113M. Volf—9860
LJul 21 · 20:30M. Sobisek—98111192M. Volf—111188113
WJul 19 · 22:30M. Sobisek—11118123M. Volf—3411101
WJun 7 · 23:00M. Sobisek—111211113M. Volf—714981
WMay 9 · 23:30M. Sobisek—1111113M. Volf—9740
LMay 9 · 21:30M. Sobisek—812861M. Volf—111011113
WMay 9 · 18:30M. Sobisek—1111183M. Volf—85160
WApr 5 · 03:30M. Sobisek—812119113M. Volf—111031162
WApr 5 · 01:00M. Sobisek—1113113M. Volf—71180
LApr 4 · 18:30M. Sobisek—51150M. Volf—1113113
M. Sobisek10
LSep 7 · 02:58R. Krejci2.631111113M. Sobisek1.449480WSep 7 · 02:00M. Sobisek1.4412712113R. Krejci2.6310111051LSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113LSep 7 · 24:00M. Chlebecek1.731111113M. Sobisek2.006890WSep 6 · 22:30V. Cermak2.10981181M. Sobisek1.6711115113WSep 6 · 21:29M. Sobisek2.10121196113M. Chlebecek1.67109111172WSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113LSep 6 · 19:30M. Sobisek2.005811101M. Chlebecek1.7311117123WSep 6 · 18:30V. Cermak2.005450M. Sobisek1.731111113LSep 3 · 17:30D. Tuma1.73151110113M. Sobisek2.001351271
M. Volf10
LSep 7 · 02:30M. Chlebecek1.5381111113M. Volf2.38114681WSep 7 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.44511341M. Volf2.6311711113LSep 6 · 23:30M. Volf1.618860V. Cermak2.201111113LSep 6 · 22:00M. Volf1.5771260R. Krejci2.251114113WSep 6 · 21:30M. Volf1.93117118113M. Vizek1.7751191192LSep 6 · 20:00M. Vizek1.8312101411123M. Volf1.831412126102WSep 6 · 19:00R. Krejci2.007680M. Volf1.731111113WSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102WAug 11 · 24:00M. Volf1.6791311113A. Hlawatschke2.101111541WAug 10 · 23:00P. Zmuda1.9134120M. Volf1.801111143
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