TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13055509
Played Aug 31Finished
Jiri Pozarsky
Home
1.65
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151210116––––
Jakub Stolfa
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Stolfa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Pozarsky above · Jakub Stolfa below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 55 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Jakub Stolfa at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Pozarsky 7–4 Jakub Stolfa Jakub Stolfa has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:05What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Pozarsky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Pozarsky
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pozarsky 1653 vs Stolfa 1691
Stolfa
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pozarsky 60% vs Stolfa 80%
Stolfa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pozarsky 50% vs Stolfa 80%
Stolfa
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pozarsky +2 · Stolfa -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pozarsky) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stolfa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPozarsky 1.65 / Stolfa 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stolfa)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13055509
Pozarsky1.65
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite52% won 31 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it82% 18 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it68% 26 of 38
Stolfa2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog58% won 56 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back40% 21 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePozarsky6wins
AwayStolfa4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPozarsky leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePozarsky71.4%5 of 7
AwayStolfa66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pozarsky7Stolfa3n = 10Pozarsky took 7 of 10
S2Pozarsky6Stolfa4n = 10Pozarsky took 6 of 10
S3Pozarsky7Stolfa3n = 10Pozarsky took 7 of 10
S4Pozarsky5Stolfa2n = 7Pozarsky took 5 of 7
S5Pozarsky1Stolfa4n = 5Stolfa took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPozarskyStolfaP − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.337.3+4.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPozarskyStolfaBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 346 vs 179 / 34147.4%52.5%164 / 346 vs 179 / 341Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PozarskyPozarsky 1.65/Stolfa 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pozarsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pozarsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 21:30J. Pozarsky—1112113J. Stolfa—51060
WAug 31 · 20:30J. Pozarsky—111112113J. Stolfa—881451
WAug 26 · 17:30J. Pozarsky—1111143J. Stolfa—99120
LAug 26 · 15:30J. Pozarsky—111061132J. Stolfa—912118113
LAug 14 · 10:30J. Pozarsky—11851192J. Stolfa—311115113
LAug 8 · 17:00J. Pozarsky—41111992J. Stolfa—115911113
WAug 8 · 15:00J. Pozarsky—11811113J. Stolfa—911871
WJul 1 · 06:00J. Pozarsky—561111113J. Stolfa—11115672
WSep 27 · 13:00J. Pozarsky—1111143J. Stolfa—67120
LSep 27 · 11:00J. Pozarsky—1011111062J. Stolfa—12881283
J. Pozarsky10
WAug 31 · 20:30J. Stolfa2.00881451J. Pozarsky1.73111112113WAug 31 · 19:30J. Pozarsky2.5091211113J. Hradecky1.501110931LAug 31 · 18:30S. Kadavy1.73512119113J. Pozarsky2.00111061162WAug 29 · 16:58P. Budinsky1.40115391J. Pozarsky2.7571111113LAug 29 · 16:00J. Pozarsky1.7311891582D. Tuma2.005111113113LAug 29 · 15:30T. Vinter1.911111103J. Pozarsky1.807760LAug 29 · 14:00J. Pozarsky1.57119861P. Budinsky2.2581111113WAug 26 · 17:30J. Stolfa2.0099120J. Pozarsky1.731111143WAug 26 · 16:00J. Pozarsky1.731111113M. Vizek2.005980LAug 26 · 15:30J. Stolfa2.00912118113J. Pozarsky1.73111061132
J. Stolfa10
LSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153LSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113LSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa2.2512991192V. Cermak1.571011119113WSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113LSep 4 · 16:59J. Stolfa1.67731281S. Kadavy2.10111110113WSep 4 · 16:00J. Stolfa2.5081111113D. Hofman1.50119881LSep 4 · 15:30S. Kadavy2.20116119113J. Stolfa1.6151171192LAug 31 · 20:30J. Stolfa2.00881451J. Pozarsky1.73111112113LAug 26 · 17:30J. Stolfa2.0099120J. Pozarsky1.731111143WAug 26 · 15:30J. Stolfa2.00912118113J. Pozarsky1.73111061132
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