Jakub Stolfa vs Jiri Pozarsky 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13048069

Played Aug 31Finished

Jakub Stolfa

Home

2.00

At publish

Won last 6

Form at publish

9–1Last 10Won last 6

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

8118111412511––

Jiri Pozarsky

Away

1.73

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Jiri Pozarsky to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

no pick shipped

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Jiri Pozarsky below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 14-12

Set 4 · 5-11

Point 80 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Jiri Pozarsky at 54.0%

80 points played in total.

H2H Jakub Stolfa 4–4 Jiri Pozarsky Dead even across their 8 meetings.

Last 8 · 4–4Head to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 16:15

What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Pozarsky

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

4-4 in 8

—

Too close

gap of 0, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Stolfa 1707 vs Pozarsky 1636

Stolfa

Wrong

both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Stolfa 100% vs Pozarsky 40%

Stolfa

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Stolfa 90% vs Pozarsky 50%

Stolfa

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Stolfa +5 · Pozarsky +1

Stolfa

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pozarsky)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Pozarsky form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsStolfa 2.00 / Pozarsky 1.73

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Stolfa)-0.3pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13048069

Stolfa2.00

90%won 9 of 10 · last 10

Won last 6

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog58% won 56 of 96

Down 0–1, comes back40% 21 of 53

Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24

Pozarsky1.73

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite52% won 31 of 60

Up 2–0, closes it82% 18 of 22

Up 1–0, closes it68% 26 of 38

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 8 meetings

HomeStolfa4wins

AwayPozarsky4wins

5 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 5 of those 8 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeStolfa66.7%2 of 3

AwayPozarsky60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Stolfa3Pozarsky5n = 8Pozarsky took 5 of 8

S2Stolfa4Pozarsky4n = 8split evenly

S3Stolfa2Pozarsky6n = 8Pozarsky took 6 of 8

S4Stolfa2Pozarsky4n = 6Pozarsky took 4 of 6

S5Stolfa4Pozarsky1n = 5Stolfa took 4 of 5

How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home450%

2–3Decider, away113%

1–3Four sets, away113%

0–3Straight, away225%

These 8 meetings

MetricStolfaPozarskyS − PBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match38.241.4−3.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricStolfaPozarskyBasisWin rate · lifetime179 / 340 vs 163 / 34552.7%47.3%179 / 340 vs 163 / 345Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Pozarsky

Stolfa 2.00/Pozarsky 1.73

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Pozarsky · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Pozarsky won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record8

WAug 26 · 15:30J. Stolfa—912118113J. Pozarsky—111061132

WAug 14 · 10:30J. Stolfa—311115113J. Pozarsky—11851192

WAug 8 · 17:00J. Stolfa—115911113J. Pozarsky—41111992

LAug 8 · 15:00J. Stolfa—911871J. Pozarsky—11811113

LJul 1 · 06:00J. Stolfa—11115672J. Pozarsky—561111113

LSep 27 · 13:00J. Stolfa—67120J. Pozarsky—1111143

WSep 27 · 11:00J. Stolfa—12881283J. Pozarsky—1011111062

LAug 5 · 06:00J. Stolfa—6850J. Pozarsky—1111113

J. Stolfa10

LSep 6 · 21:06J. Stolfa2.02514611132V. Cermak1.701112119153 LSep 6 · 20:30J. Stolfa1.5751291152M. Sobisek2.251110119113 LSep 6 · 19:00J. Stolfa2.2512991192V. Cermak1.571011119113 WSep 6 · 18:00M. Chlebecek1.6151060J. Stolfa2.201112113 LSep 4 · 16:59J. Stolfa1.67731281S. Kadavy2.10111110113 WSep 4 · 16:00J. Stolfa2.5081111113D. Hofman1.50119881 LSep 4 · 15:30S. Kadavy2.20116119113J. Stolfa1.6151171192 LSep 4 · 14:00J. Stolfa3.4061111782M. Pikous1.30117911113 WSep 4 · 08:58D. Hofman1.4012115992J. Stolfa2.751091111113 LSep 4 · 08:00J. Stolfa2.25131091192D. Hofman1.571112117113

J. Pozarsky10

WAug 31 · 21:30J. Pozarsky1.651112113J. Stolfa2.1051060 WAug 31 · 19:30J. Pozarsky2.5091211113J. Hradecky1.501110931 LAug 31 · 18:30S. Kadavy1.73512119113J. Pozarsky2.00111061162 WAug 29 · 16:58P. Budinsky1.40115391J. Pozarsky2.7571111113 LAug 29 · 16:00J. Pozarsky1.7311891582D. Tuma2.005111113113 LAug 29 · 15:30T. Vinter1.911111103J. Pozarsky1.807760 LAug 29 · 14:00J. Pozarsky1.57119861P. Budinsky2.2581111113 WAug 26 · 17:30J. Stolfa2.0099120J. Pozarsky1.731111143 WAug 26 · 16:00J. Pozarsky1.731111113M. Vizek2.005980 LAug 26 · 15:30J. Stolfa2.00912118113J. Pozarsky1.73111061132

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