TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087364
Played Sep 8Finished
Pavel Fojt
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111012411––––
Vladimir Postelt
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:39 and never touched — 61.1% is still 61.1%
Graded at full timeVladimir Postelt to win
61.1%
61.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Fojt above · Vladimir Postelt below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 56 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Vladimir Postelt at 61.1%
56 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Fojt 13–23 Vladimir Postelt Pavel Fojt has won 13 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:39What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Postelt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-23 in 36
Postelt
Correct
gap of 10 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fojt 1518 vs Postelt 1455
Fojt
Wrong
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fojt 40% vs Postelt 20%
Fojt
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fojt 60% vs Postelt 30%
Fojt
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fojt +1 · Postelt -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Postelt) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFojt 2.50 / Postelt 1.50
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Postelt)-2.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13087364
Fojt2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog41% won 68 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back21% 20 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Postelt1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite62% won 121 of 195
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it85% 96 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFojt4wins
AwayPostelt6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPostelt leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFojt66.7%2 of 3
AwayPostelt71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fojt3Postelt7n = 10Postelt took 7 of 10
S2Fojt5Postelt5n = 10split evenly
S3Fojt3Postelt7n = 10Postelt took 7 of 10
S4Fojt2Postelt4n = 6Postelt took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricFojtPosteltF − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.838.2−5.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFojtPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime353 / 722 vs 432 / 81748.9%52.9%353 / 722 vs 432 / 817Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltFojt 2.50/Postelt 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt—1111113V. Postelt—2790
LAug 22 · 22:30P. Fojt—1154111V. Postelt—71111133
LAug 15 · 19:00P. Fojt—9124111V. Postelt—111011133
LJul 12 · 21:28P. Fojt—411781V. Postelt—11911113
WJul 12 · 20:30P. Fojt—911711113V. Postelt—11911652
WJul 1 · 18:30P. Fojt—121013143V. Postelt—101211121
LJun 24 · 22:00P. Fojt—41250V. Postelt—1114113
LJun 22 · 03:30P. Fojt—4940V. Postelt—1111113
WJun 21 · 23:30P. Fojt—311117113V. Postelt—11871192
LJun 14 · 22:30P. Fojt—6760V. Postelt—1111113
P. Fojt10
WSep 8 · 24:00J. Dedek1.36611111122P. Fojt3.00111331113LSep 7 · 22:30D. Kouble1.80811112113P. Fojt1.9111861162LSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113WSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461WSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780WSep 3 · 03:30D. Parhomenko2.0277120P. Fojt1.701111143LSep 3 · 02:30P. Fojt1.80111110472D. Parhomenko1.91891211113WSep 3 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.10611121482P. Fojt1.671171412113
V. Postelt10
LSep 7 · 23:30V. Postelt2.3894100D. Kouble1.531111123LSep 7 · 22:00V. Postelt1.83791371J. Prokupek1.83111111113WSep 7 · 13:00V. Postelt1.20411811113L. Malek4.3311611852LSep 7 · 12:00V. Postelt1.611081151J. Trefny2.2012114113LSep 7 · 11:30J. Plachy2.251111107113V. Postelt1.5777121182WSep 7 · 10:00V. Postelt1.401111113L. Malek2.752690LSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161LSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193
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