TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087377
Played Sep 7Finished
Vladimir Postelt
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7119111311711––
Jaroslav Prokupek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVladimir Postelt to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladimir Postelt above · Jaroslav Prokupek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 80 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Vladimir Postelt at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Postelt 43–40 Jaroslav Prokupek Jaroslav Prokupek has won 40 of their 83 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:49What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Prokupek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-40 in 83
Postelt
Wrong
gap of 3 in 83, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Postelt 1478 vs Prokupek 1480
Prokupek
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Postelt 40% vs Prokupek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Postelt 40% vs Prokupek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Postelt +1 · Prokupek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Postelt)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prokupek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPostelt 1.83 / Prokupek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Postelt)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087377
Postelt1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Prokupek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePostelt6wins
AwayProkupek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPostelt leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePostelt75%3 of 4
AwayProkupek50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Postelt4Prokupek6n = 10Prokupek took 6 of 10
S2Postelt5Prokupek5n = 10split evenly
S3Postelt6Prokupek4n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S4Postelt5Prokupek4n = 9Postelt took 5 of 9
S5Postelt2Prokupek1n = 3Postelt took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPosteltProkupekPostelt − ProkupekBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.839.1+0.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPosteltProkupekBasisWin rate · lifetime432 / 815 vs 643 / 135353%47.5%432 / 815 vs 643 / 1353Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltPostelt 1.83/Prokupek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Prokupek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 23:00V. Postelt—114118113J. Prokupek—61171182
WAug 25 · 22:00V. Postelt—71111113J. Prokupek—117761
WAug 19 · 10:00V. Postelt—991111123J. Prokupek—111176102
WJul 17 · 03:30V. Postelt—81112123J. Prokupek—11610101
LJul 16 · 23:00V. Postelt—5750J. Prokupek—1111113
LJul 6 · 02:58V. Postelt—11119652J. Prokupek—991111113
LJul 6 · 24:30V. Postelt—7119111J. Prokupek—11811133
LJun 19 · 10:00V. Postelt—791191J. Prokupek—11113113
WJun 3 · 23:30V. Postelt—13711113J. Prokupek—1111861
WMay 31 · 03:30V. Postelt—12119113J. Prokupek—1071181
V. Postelt10
WSep 7 · 13:00V. Postelt1.20411811113L. Malek4.3311611852LSep 7 · 12:00V. Postelt1.611081151J. Trefny2.2012114113LSep 7 · 11:30J. Plachy2.251111107113V. Postelt1.5777121182WSep 7 · 10:00V. Postelt1.401111113L. Malek2.752690LSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161LSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193WSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113LSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181
J. Prokupek10
LSep 7 · 09:29J. Svoboda1.40111111123J. Prokupek2.750138101WSep 7 · 08:30J. Trefny1.507930J. Prokupek2.501111113LSep 7 · 07:30J. Prokupek3.2510670J. Svoboda1.331211113WSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113LSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113LSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.2581111113J. Trefny1.57117741LSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121LSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750LSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek2.0061171182V. Postelt1.73114118113
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