TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087579
Played Sep 8Finished
Jiri Dedek
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111113113111211
Pavel Fojt
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:24 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Pavel Fojt below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-1
Set 5 · 2-11
Point 80 set 5, 2-11 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 70.4%
80 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 39–17 Pavel Fojt Pavel Fojt has won 17 of their 56 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:24What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Dedek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-17 in 56
Dedek
Wrong
gap of 22 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dedek 1523 vs Fojt 1507
Dedek
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dedek 40% vs Fojt 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dedek 60% vs Fojt 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dedek -2 · Fojt -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Dedek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dedek form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 1.36 / Fojt 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Dedek)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087579
Dedek1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 153 of 251
Up 2–0, closes it98% 89 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it80% 114 of 143
Fojt3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 68 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back21% 20 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDedek8wins
AwayFojt2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDedek leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDedek85.7%6 of 7
AwayFojt33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dedek7Fojt3n = 10Dedek took 7 of 10
S2Dedek8Fojt2n = 10Dedek took 8 of 10
S3Dedek5Fojt5n = 10split evenly
S4Dedek4Fojt1n = 5Dedek took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDedekFojtD − FBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.730.3+6.4per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekFojtBasisWin rate · lifetime477 / 923 vs 352 / 72251.7%48.8%477 / 923 vs 352 / 722Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekDedek 1.36/Fojt 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.4%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fojt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 16 · 23:30J. Dedek—9660P. Fojt—1111113
WAug 13 · 19:30J. Dedek—1211113P. Fojt—10960
WAug 5 · 20:58J. Dedek—111211113P. Fojt—4101331
WAug 5 · 20:30J. Dedek—1011811113P. Fojt—12711392
LJul 30 · 18:30J. Dedek—126381P. Fojt—101111113
WJul 27 · 20:30J. Dedek—111111113P. Fojt—761361
WJul 26 · 01:00J. Dedek—1111113P. Fojt—7440
WJul 23 · 20:59J. Dedek—81111113P. Fojt—117791
WJul 23 · 19:30J. Dedek—1111113P. Fojt—8690
WJul 23 · 01:00J. Dedek—1213113P. Fojt—101150
J. Dedek10
LSep 7 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911111163J. Dedek1.8085140LSep 6 · 21:28J. Trefny1.671112113J. Dedek2.1091050WSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781LSep 6 · 18:30J. Trefny1.831111123J. Dedek1.8359100WSep 6 · 17:29J. Trefny1.6714711842J. Dedek2.101211711113WSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661WSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931LSep 6 · 14:00J. Trefny2.251111133J. Dedek1.5788110WSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113
P. Fojt10
LSep 8 · 01:00P. Fojt2.5081040V. Postelt1.501112113LSep 7 · 22:30D. Kouble1.80811112113P. Fojt1.9111861162LSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113WSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461WSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780WSep 3 · 03:30D. Parhomenko2.0277120P. Fojt1.701111143LSep 3 · 02:30P. Fojt1.80111110472D. Parhomenko1.91891211113WSep 3 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.10611121482P. Fojt1.671171412113
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