TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087501
Played Sep 8Finished
Daniel Kouble
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1182111214117111
Jiri Dedek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Kouble above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 1-11
Point 88 set 5, 1-11 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Kouble 0–1 Jiri Dedek Daniel Kouble has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:09What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Dedek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kouble 1537 vs Dedek 1511
Kouble
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kouble 40% vs Dedek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kouble 30% vs Dedek 50%
Dedek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kouble -1 · Dedek -3
Dedek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kouble) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dedek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKouble 1.83 / Dedek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kouble)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087501
Kouble1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Dedek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKouble0wins
AwayDedek1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderDedek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKoubleDedekK − DBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match50.054.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoubleDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 219 vs 477 / 92447.5%51.6%104 / 219 vs 477 / 924Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoubleKouble 1.83/Dedek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kouble · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LFeb 11 · 24:30D. Kouble—108121282J. Dedek—12111010113
D. Kouble10
WSep 8 · 03:30J. Prokupek2.25145661D. Kouble1.57121111113LSep 8 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.25118119143D. Kouble1.57911711122WSep 7 · 23:30V. Postelt2.3894100D. Kouble1.531111123WSep 7 · 22:30D. Kouble1.80811112113P. Fojt1.9111861162LSep 5 · 02:30S. Kadavy1.801111113D. Kouble1.919180LSep 5 · 01:00R. Krejci1.6111114113D. Kouble2.20881151LSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113LSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113LSep 1 · 03:00T. Janata1.801211113D. Kouble1.9110540LSep 1 · 02:00R. Krejci1.731211113D. Kouble2.0010920
J. Dedek10
WSep 8 · 03:00J. Dedek1.401112113P. Fojt2.7551030WSep 8 · 02:30J. Dedek3.251111113V. Postelt1.338380LSep 8 · 24:00J. Dedek1.36611111122P. Fojt3.00111331113LSep 7 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911111163J. Dedek1.8085140LSep 6 · 21:28J. Trefny1.671112113J. Dedek2.1091050WSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781LSep 6 · 18:30J. Trefny1.831111123J. Dedek1.8359100WSep 6 · 17:29J. Trefny1.6714711842J. Dedek2.101211711113WSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661
Upcoming Matches
D. Kouble
Nothing scheduled
J. Dedek
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