TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087592
Played Sep 8Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1198111179111412
Daniel Kouble
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:22 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeDaniel Kouble to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Daniel Kouble below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 103 set 5, 14-12 — our read held Daniel Kouble at 60.1%
103 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 5–12 Daniel Kouble Jaroslav Prokupek has won 5 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:22What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kouble
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-12 in 17
Kouble
Wrong
gap of 7 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prokupek 1521 vs Kouble 1537
Kouble
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokupek 60% vs Kouble 40%
Prokupek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokupek 50% vs Kouble 30%
Prokupek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokupek +2 · Kouble +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kouble)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kouble form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 2.25 / Kouble 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Kouble)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087592
Prokupek2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 101 of 244
Down 0–1, comes back17% 21 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 77
Kouble1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite48% won 12 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it53% 8 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProkupek4wins
AwayKouble6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKouble leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkupek33.3%1 of 3
AwayKouble57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek3Kouble7n = 10Kouble took 7 of 10
S2Prokupek5Kouble5n = 10split evenly
S3Prokupek4Kouble6n = 10Kouble took 6 of 10
S4Prokupek2Kouble7n = 9Kouble took 7 of 9
S5Prokupek4Kouble1n = 5Prokupek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricProkupekKoubleP − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.141.8−2.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekKoubleBasisWin rate · lifetime646 / 1356 vs 104 / 21947.6%47.5%646 / 1356 vs 104 / 219Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoubleProkupek 2.25/Kouble 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Kouble · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Prokupek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 24:30J. Prokupek—118119143D. Kouble—911711122
LMay 12 · 23:00J. Prokupek—116591D. Kouble—91111113
LApr 15 · 03:00J. Prokupek—6680D. Kouble—1111113
WApr 15 · 02:00J. Prokupek—411117113D. Kouble—11591172
LFeb 26 · 22:30J. Prokupek—911971D. Kouble—11511113
LFeb 26 · 19:00J. Prokupek—971191D. Kouble—11117113
WFeb 3 · 01:30J. Prokupek—611711113D. Kouble—11911942
LDec 23 · 03:30J. Prokupek—11911762D. Kouble—711411113
LNov 25 · 04:30J. Prokupek—911791D. Kouble—11611113
WNov 24 · 23:00J. Prokupek—813211113D. Kouble—111111752
J. Prokupek10
WSep 7 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911111163J. Dedek1.8085140WSep 7 · 22:00V. Postelt1.83791371J. Prokupek1.83111111113LSep 7 · 09:29J. Svoboda1.40111111123J. Prokupek2.750138101WSep 7 · 08:30J. Trefny1.507930J. Prokupek2.501111113LSep 7 · 07:30J. Prokupek3.2510670J. Svoboda1.331211113WSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113LSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113LSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.2581111113J. Trefny1.57117741LSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121
D. Kouble10
WSep 7 · 23:30V. Postelt2.3894100D. Kouble1.531111123WSep 7 · 22:30D. Kouble1.80811112113P. Fojt1.9111861162LSep 5 · 02:30S. Kadavy1.801111113D. Kouble1.919180LSep 5 · 01:00R. Krejci1.6111114113D. Kouble2.20881151LSep 4 · 23:30D. Kouble2.201581181T. Janata1.6117119113LSep 4 · 22:00D. Kouble3.2510750P. Pycha1.331211113LSep 1 · 03:00T. Janata1.801211113D. Kouble1.9110540LSep 1 · 02:00R. Krejci1.731211113D. Kouble2.0010920WSep 1 · 24:30D. Kouble1.5391112113V. Postelt2.381161081LAug 31 · 23:00D. Kouble2.0011116772D. Tuma1.73981111113
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