TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087394
Played Sep 8Finished
Pavel Fojt
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911115911117115
Jaroslav Prokupek
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:49 and never touched — 63.2% is still 63.2%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Prokupek to win
63.2%
63.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Fojt above · Jaroslav Prokupek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 90 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Jaroslav Prokupek at 63.2%
90 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Fojt 11–49 Jaroslav Prokupek Pavel Fojt has won 11 of their 60 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:49What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Prokupek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-49 in 60
Prokupek
Wrong
gap of 38 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fojt 1513 vs Prokupek 1509
Fojt
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fojt 40% vs Prokupek 80%
Prokupek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fojt 50% vs Prokupek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fojt -1 · Prokupek +3
Prokupek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Prokupek) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prokupek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFojt 2.25 / Prokupek 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Prokupek)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087394
Fojt2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 68 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back21% 20 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Prokupek1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 118 of 229
Up 2–0, closes it88% 68 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it73% 89 of 122
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFojt3wins
AwayProkupek7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderProkupek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFojt50%2 of 4
AwayProkupek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fojt4Prokupek6n = 10Prokupek took 6 of 10
S2Fojt3Prokupek7n = 10Prokupek took 7 of 10
S3Fojt4Prokupek6n = 10Prokupek took 6 of 10
S4Fojt3Prokupek4n = 7Prokupek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFojtProkupekF − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.937.5−4.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFojtProkupekBasisWin rate · lifetime353 / 722 vs 646 / 135748.9%47.6%353 / 722 vs 646 / 1357Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProkupekFojt 2.25/Prokupek 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.4%
Prokupek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fojt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 02:00P. Fojt—911911113J. Prokupek—11511752
LSep 6 · 24:30P. Fojt—116461J. Prokupek—31111113
LAug 21 · 03:00P. Fojt—51080J. Prokupek—1112113
LAug 21 · 01:00P. Fojt—6411101J. Prokupek—11119123
WAug 17 · 24:30P. Fojt—1111113J. Prokupek—7370
WJul 15 · 02:00P. Fojt—11125113J. Prokupek—8101151
LJul 12 · 22:30P. Fojt—116361J. Prokupek—91111113
LJul 9 · 24:30P. Fojt—35120J. Prokupek—1111143
LJul 8 · 03:00P. Fojt—651131J. Prokupek—11117113
LJul 8 · 01:30P. Fojt—117111692J. Prokupek—1311514113
P. Fojt10
LSep 8 · 03:00J. Dedek1.401112113P. Fojt2.7551030LSep 8 · 01:00P. Fojt2.5081040V. Postelt1.501112113WSep 8 · 24:00J. Dedek1.36611111122P. Fojt3.00111331113LSep 7 · 22:30D. Kouble1.80811112113P. Fojt1.9111861162LSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113WSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461WSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780WSep 3 · 03:30D. Parhomenko2.0277120P. Fojt1.701111143
J. Prokupek10
LSep 8 · 03:30J. Prokupek2.25145661D. Kouble1.57121111113WSep 8 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.25118119143D. Kouble1.57911711122WSep 7 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911111163J. Dedek1.8085140WSep 7 · 22:00V. Postelt1.83791371J. Prokupek1.83111111113LSep 7 · 09:29J. Svoboda1.40111111123J. Prokupek2.750138101WSep 7 · 08:30J. Trefny1.507930J. Prokupek2.501111113LSep 7 · 07:30J. Prokupek3.2510670J. Svoboda1.331211113WSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113LSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113WSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461
Upcoming Matches
P. Fojt
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J. Prokupek
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