TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092712
Played Sep 8Finished
Jiri Dedek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5116111311711––
Tomas Dousa
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Tomas Dousa below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 75 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 15–15 Tomas Dousa Dead even across their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 3–7Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:47What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dedek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-15 in 30
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dedek 1526 vs Dousa 1544
Dousa
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dedek 60% vs Dousa 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dedek 50% vs Dousa 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dedek -1 · Dousa +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dedek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 1.73 / Dousa 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dedek)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092712
Dedek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 154 of 254
Up 2–0, closes it98% 90 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it80% 115 of 144
Dousa2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 54 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back20% 15 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDedek3wins
AwayDousa7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDousa leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDedek75%3 of 4
AwayDousa100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dedek4Dousa6n = 10Dousa took 6 of 10
S2Dedek5Dousa5n = 10split evenly
S3Dedek5Dousa5n = 10split evenly
S4Dedek1Dousa5n = 6Dousa took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDedekDousaDedek − DousaBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.636.7−2.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekDousaBasisWin rate · lifetime480 / 928 vs 346 / 69951.7%49.5%480 / 928 vs 346 / 699Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekDedek 1.73/Dousa 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dousa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 20:00J. Dedek—1116133T. Dousa—714110
WAug 3 · 17:30J. Dedek—1111113T. Dousa—8960
LAug 3 · 16:30J. Dedek—1199101T. Dousa—61111123
LJul 31 · 22:30J. Dedek—19570T. Dousa—2111113
LJun 19 · 20:00J. Dedek—91111752T. Dousa—114411113
LMay 25 · 17:30J. Dedek—9950T. Dousa—1111113
LMay 25 · 16:30J. Dedek—711761T. Dousa—11711113
LApr 11 · 13:30J. Dedek—9101121T. Dousa—11126113
WApr 11 · 10:30J. Dedek—11117113T. Dousa—881181
LMar 20 · 22:30J. Dedek—881171T. Dousa—11117113
J. Dedek10
LSep 8 · 18:00J. Prokupek1.91118117113J. Dedek1.8091191182WSep 8 · 03:00J. Dedek1.401112113P. Fojt2.7551030WSep 8 · 02:30J. Dedek3.251111113V. Postelt1.338380WSep 8 · 01:30D. Kouble1.83112121112J. Dedek1.83811147113LSep 8 · 24:00J. Dedek1.36611111122P. Fojt3.00111331113LSep 7 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911111163J. Dedek1.8085140LSep 6 · 21:28J. Trefny1.671112113J. Dedek2.1091050WSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781LSep 6 · 18:30J. Trefny1.831111123J. Dedek1.8359100
T. Dousa10
WSep 8 · 20:00J. Prokupek1.914890T. Dousa1.801111113WSep 8 · 18:30T. Dousa1.8312212113J. Plachy1.8310111051WSep 8 · 17:00Y. Holovatiuk2.30119111172T. Dousa1.52131188113WSep 8 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk3.0078111142T. Dousa1.36111176113LSep 8 · 15:00J. Trefny1.801311113T. Dousa1.9111580LSep 8 · 14:30T. Dousa1.9141181182J. Plachy1.80113118113WSep 7 · 16:59R. Pavelka1.831013111192T. Dousa1.831211136113LSep 7 · 16:30R. Pavelka1.911111113T. Dousa1.807580WSep 7 · 15:30T. Dousa2.0012911113M. Vedmoch1.731011551LSep 7 · 14:30M. Sedlak1.611111113T. Dousa2.208860
Upcoming Matches
J. Dedek
T. Dousa
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