TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13094024
Played Sep 7Finished
Radim Pavelka
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
101213111113116911
Tomas Dousa
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingRadim Pavelka above · Tomas Dousa below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 107 set 5, 9-11
107 points played in total.
H2H Radim Pavelka 30–30 Tomas Dousa Dead even across their 60 meetings.
Last 10 · 7–3Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Pavelka beat Dousa 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pavelka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pavelka form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPavelka 1.83 / Dousa 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pavelka)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13094024
Pavelka1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Dousa1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePavelka7wins
AwayDousa3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderPavelka leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePavelka71.4%5 of 7
AwayDousa33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pavelka7Dousa3n = 10Pavelka took 7 of 10
S2Pavelka6Dousa4n = 10Pavelka took 6 of 10
S3Pavelka4Dousa6n = 10Dousa took 6 of 10
S4Pavelka5Dousa4n = 9Pavelka took 5 of 9
S5Pavelka4Dousa2n = 6Pavelka took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPavelkaDousaP − DBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match46.242.8+3.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPavelkaDousaBasisWin rate · lifetime446 / 886 vs 347 / 70250.3%49.4%446 / 886 vs 347 / 702Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PavelkaPavelka 1.83/Dousa 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pavelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dousa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 16:30R. Pavelka—1111113T. Dousa—7580
WAug 27 · 17:29R. Pavelka—81111113T. Dousa—117891
WAug 27 · 14:00R. Pavelka—14101211133T. Dousa—1212148112
LAug 24 · 15:00R. Pavelka—111211792T. Dousa—914811113
WJul 31 · 21:28R. Pavelka—111186113T. Dousa—96111182
WJul 31 · 19:30R. Pavelka—11511113T. Dousa—911681
WJul 3 · 17:30R. Pavelka—1111810113T. Dousa—89111272
LJul 3 · 15:30R. Pavelka—111091172T. Dousa—512119113
LJun 29 · 17:30R. Pavelka—9111181T. Dousa—11713113
WJun 29 · 16:30R. Pavelka—9111113113T. Dousa—114131182
R. Pavelka10
WSep 7 · 16:30R. Pavelka1.911111113T. Dousa1.807580LSep 7 · 15:00R. Pavelka1.8081171142M. Sedlak1.91118119113LSep 7 · 14:00M. Vedmoch2.251111113R. Pavelka1.579450WSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113LSep 6 · 20:00R. Pavelka1.611015561J. Trefny2.20121311113LSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781WSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121LSep 5 · 09:30J. Svoboda1.361111113R. Pavelka3.008550LSep 5 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.2581111113R. Pavelka3.75117471WSep 5 · 07:30R. Pavelka2.251161111113T. Holik1.5751113792
T. Dousa10
LSep 7 · 16:30R. Pavelka1.911111113T. Dousa1.807580WSep 7 · 15:30T. Dousa2.0012911113M. Vedmoch1.731011551LSep 7 · 14:30M. Sedlak1.611111113T. Dousa2.208860WAug 31 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801112113P. Fojt1.9181080WAug 31 · 20:00P. Fojt1.839270T. Dousa1.831111113WAug 31 · 19:00M. Kolar2.25691181T. Dousa1.5711118113WAug 31 · 18:30T. Dousa1.401111123Y. Holovatiuk2.7599100LAug 27 · 17:29R. Pavelka1.7381111113T. Dousa2.00117891WAug 27 · 16:00T. Dousa1.831115133J. Plachy1.83913110WAug 27 · 15:30K. Darin2.1011118862T. Dousa1.67591111113
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