TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087345
Played Sep 7Finished
Radim Pavelka
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811118711119411
Marek Sedlak
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:39 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeRadim Pavelka to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadim Pavelka above · Marek Sedlak below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 91 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Radim Pavelka at 54.3%
91 points played in total.
H2H Radim Pavelka 1–0 Marek Sedlak Marek Sedlak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 12:39What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pavelka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pavelka 1553 vs Sedlak 1474
Pavelka
Wrong
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pavelka 40% vs Sedlak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pavelka 40% vs Sedlak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pavelka -1 · Sedlak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pavelka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedlak form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPavelka 1.80 / Sedlak 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pavelka)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087345
Pavelka1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 104 of 166
Up 2–0, closes it94% 46 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it76% 74 of 97
Sedlak1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePavelka1wins
AwaySedlak0wins
Pavelka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPavelkaSedlakP − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.021.0+12.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPavelkaSedlakBasisWin rate · lifetime445 / 884 vs 65 / 13650.3%47.8%445 / 884 vs 65 / 136Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PavelkaPavelka 1.80/Sedlak 1.91
Miss
What we said
54.3%
Pavelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sedlak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 5 · 06:30R. Pavelka—1111113M. Sedlak—6780
R. Pavelka10
LSep 7 · 14:00M. Vedmoch2.251111113R. Pavelka1.579450WSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113LSep 6 · 20:00R. Pavelka1.611015561J. Trefny2.20121311113LSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781WSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121LSep 5 · 09:30J. Svoboda1.361111113R. Pavelka3.008550LSep 5 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.2581111113R. Pavelka3.75117471WSep 5 · 07:30R. Pavelka2.251161111113T. Holik1.5751113792WSep 5 · 06:30M. Sedlak1.806780R. Pavelka1.911111113LSep 4 · 17:30F. Just1.301311113R. Pavelka3.4011930
M. Sedlak10
LSep 7 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.8311811143M. Sedlak1.838118121WSep 7 · 14:30M. Sedlak1.611111113T. Dousa2.208860LSep 5 · 09:00M. Sedlak3.252690T. Holik1.331111113LSep 5 · 08:00T. Holik1.831191011223M. Sedlak1.83811125202WSep 5 · 07:00J. Svoboda2.2010111081M. Sedlak1.6112412113LSep 5 · 06:30M. Sedlak1.806780R. Pavelka1.911111113WSep 3 · 21:00M. Sedlak1.611211113T. Vinter2.2010990LSep 3 · 20:00M. Sedlak1.914611111D. Tuma1.8011117133LSep 3 · 19:30V. Postelt2.381111113M. Sedlak1.535560WSep 3 · 18:00M. Sedlak1.80121111113T. Vinter1.911013251
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