TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13020958
Played Aug 27Finished
Tomas Dousa
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11915131311––––
Jiri Plachy
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Plachy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Dousa above · Jiri Plachy below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 72 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Jiri Plachy at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousa 26–37 Jiri Plachy Tomas Dousa has won 26 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:19What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Plachy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-37 in 63
Plachy
Wrong
gap of 11 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dousa 1450 vs Plachy 1468
Plachy
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dousa 0% vs Plachy 40%
Plachy
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dousa 30% vs Plachy 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dousa -5 · Plachy -1
Dousa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Plachy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plachy form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousa 1.83 / Plachy 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Plachy)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13020958
Dousa1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Plachy1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDousa6wins
AwayPlachy4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDousa leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousa75%3 of 4
AwayPlachy50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousa4Plachy6n = 10Plachy took 6 of 10
S2Dousa6Plachy4n = 10Dousa took 6 of 10
S3Dousa6Plachy4n = 10Dousa took 6 of 10
S4Dousa5Plachy2n = 7Dousa took 5 of 7
S5Dousa2Plachy2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDousaPlachyD − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.138.6−0.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousaPlachyBasisWin rate · lifetime343 / 701 vs 735 / 159748.9%46%343 / 701 vs 735 / 1597Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachyDousa 1.83/Plachy 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Plachy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dousa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 18 · 16:58T. Dousa—911613113J. Plachy—119111192
LMay 18 · 14:30T. Dousa—101121162J. Plachy—126116113
WMay 16 · 01:30T. Dousa—1311113J. Plachy—11840
LMay 15 · 14:30T. Dousa—61020J. Plachy—1112113
WApr 26 · 14:30T. Dousa—12101110113J. Plachy—101291282
WMar 19 · 19:30T. Dousa—71111113J. Plachy—118891
LMar 7 · 04:00T. Dousa—129681J. Plachy—101111113
WMar 7 · 03:00T. Dousa—81111113J. Plachy—115881
LFeb 22 · 13:30T. Dousa—44111222J. Plachy—111181043
WFeb 22 · 10:00T. Dousa—1111133J. Plachy—78110
T. Dousa10
WAug 31 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801112113P. Fojt1.9181080WAug 31 · 20:00P. Fojt1.839270T. Dousa1.831111113WAug 31 · 19:00M. Kolar2.25691181T. Dousa1.5711118113WAug 31 · 18:30T. Dousa1.401111123Y. Holovatiuk2.7599100LAug 27 · 17:29R. Pavelka1.7381111113T. Dousa2.00117891WAug 27 · 15:30K. Darin2.1011118862T. Dousa1.67591111113LAug 27 · 14:00T. Dousa1.831212148112R. Pavelka1.8314101211133LAug 24 · 20:58J. Dedek1.80111195113T. Dousa1.9186111132LAug 24 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.83111117113T. Dousa1.83891981LAug 24 · 19:30T. Dousa1.839111381J. Dedek1.8311215113
J. Plachy10
LSep 7 · 09:00J. Trefny1.73117912143J. Plachy2.008111110122LSep 7 · 08:00J. Svoboda1.361112113J. Plachy3.0051090WSep 7 · 07:00J. Trefny1.73911951J. Plachy2.0011511113LSep 7 · 06:30J. Plachy1.837880J. Prokupek1.831111113WSep 6 · 02:59J. Plachy2.0011117113V. Postelt1.70491181WSep 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.801111113J. Prokupek1.916750LSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113WSep 6 · 24:00V. Postelt1.53108170J. Plachy2.381211193LSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780LSep 5 · 21:30J. Plachy1.684780L. Krok2.051111113
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