TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13031418
Played Aug 27Finished
Radim Pavelka
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811117118119––
Tomas Dousa
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingRadim Pavelka above · Tomas Dousa below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9
76 points played in total.
H2H Radim Pavelka 27–29 Tomas Dousa Radim Pavelka has won 27 of their 56 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Pavelka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pavelka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPavelka 1.73 / Dousa 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Pavelka)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13031418
Pavelka1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite63% won 98 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it77% 72 of 93
Dousa2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 54 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back21% 17 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePavelka5wins
AwayDousa5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePavelka57.1%4 of 7
AwayDousa66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pavelka7Dousa3n = 10Pavelka took 7 of 10
S2Pavelka6Dousa4n = 10Pavelka took 6 of 10
S3Pavelka3Dousa7n = 10Dousa took 7 of 10
S4Pavelka4Dousa5n = 9Dousa took 5 of 9
S5Pavelka3Dousa3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPavelkaDousaP − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.041.8+1.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPavelkaDousaBasisWin rate · lifetime448 / 892 vs 344 / 70250.2%49%448 / 892 vs 344 / 702Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PavelkaPavelka 1.73/Dousa 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Pavelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pavelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 31 · 21:28R. Pavelka—111186113T. Dousa—96111182
WJul 31 · 19:30R. Pavelka—11511113T. Dousa—911681
WJul 3 · 17:30R. Pavelka—1111810113T. Dousa—89111272
LJul 3 · 15:30R. Pavelka—111091172T. Dousa—512119113
LJun 29 · 17:30R. Pavelka—9111181T. Dousa—11713113
WJun 29 · 16:30R. Pavelka—9111113113T. Dousa—114131182
LJun 15 · 14:30R. Pavelka—41151282T. Dousa—1171110113
WJun 8 · 14:30R. Pavelka—1111113T. Dousa—9450
LMay 26 · 14:30R. Pavelka—118119112T. Dousa—411911133
LMay 25 · 15:30R. Pavelka—116751T. Dousa—61111113
R. Pavelka10
WSep 6 · 20:59J. Prokupek1.916570R. Pavelka1.801111113LSep 6 · 20:00R. Pavelka1.611015561J. Trefny2.20121311113LSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781WSep 6 · 18:00R. Pavelka1.6711156113J. Prokupek2.106131121LSep 5 · 09:30J. Svoboda1.361111113R. Pavelka3.008550LSep 5 · 08:30J. Svoboda1.2581111113R. Pavelka3.75117471WSep 5 · 07:30R. Pavelka2.251161111113T. Holik1.5751113792WSep 5 · 06:30M. Sedlak1.806780R. Pavelka1.911111113LSep 4 · 17:30F. Just1.301311113R. Pavelka3.4011930WSep 4 · 16:00R. Pavelka1.7313115113D. Parhomenko2.001151191
T. Dousa10
WAug 31 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801112113P. Fojt1.9181080WAug 31 · 20:00P. Fojt1.839270T. Dousa1.831111113WAug 31 · 19:00M. Kolar2.25691181T. Dousa1.5711118113WAug 31 · 18:30T. Dousa1.401111123Y. Holovatiuk2.7599100WAug 27 · 16:00T. Dousa1.831115133J. Plachy1.83913110WAug 27 · 15:30K. Darin2.1011118862T. Dousa1.67591111113LAug 27 · 14:00T. Dousa1.831212148112R. Pavelka1.8314101211133LAug 24 · 20:58J. Dedek1.80111195113T. Dousa1.9186111132LAug 24 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.83111117113T. Dousa1.83891981LAug 24 · 19:30T. Dousa1.839111381J. Dedek1.8311215113
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