TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13047988
Played Aug 31Finished
Milan Kolar
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611911118811––
Tomas Dousa
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:06 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeTomas Dousa to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Kolar above · Tomas Dousa below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Dousa at 57.7%
75 points played in total.
H2H Milan Kolar 6–18 Tomas Dousa Milan Kolar has won 6 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:06What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Dousa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-18 in 24
Dousa
Correct
gap of 12 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolar 1506 vs Dousa 1476
Kolar
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolar 40% vs Dousa 60%
Dousa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolar 30% vs Dousa 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolar -1 · Dousa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Dousa)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolar 2.25 / Dousa 1.57
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Dousa)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13047988
Kolar2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 85 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back22% 18 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Dousa1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 92 of 176
Up 2–0, closes it83% 38 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it72% 60 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolar2wins
AwayDousa8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDousa leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolar25%1 of 4
AwayDousa83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolar4Dousa6n = 10Dousa took 6 of 10
S2Kolar4Dousa6n = 10Dousa took 6 of 10
S3Kolar5Dousa5n = 10split evenly
S4Kolar5Dousa3n = 8Kolar took 5 of 8
S5Kolar0Dousa5n = 5Dousa took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolarDousaK − DBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.341.0−1.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolarDousaBasisWin rate · lifetime404 / 802 vs 345 / 70450.4%49%404 / 802 vs 345 / 704Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DousaKolar 2.25/Dousa 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Dousa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dousa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 19:00M. Kolar—11119952T. Dousa—921111113
LAug 4 · 17:07M. Kolar—851111102T. Dousa—111149123
WAug 4 · 14:30M. Kolar—1111113T. Dousa—9740
WAug 3 · 19:00M. Kolar—91111113T. Dousa—114371
LJul 31 · 20:30M. Kolar—11541182T. Dousa—611116113
LMay 19 · 16:30M. Kolar—681371T. Dousa—111111113
LNov 29 · 14:30M. Kolar—36111252T. Dousa—1111910113
LNov 29 · 12:00M. Kolar—717991T. Dousa—111511113
LNov 25 · 17:30M. Kolar—89110T. Dousa—1111133
LNov 11 · 20:00M. Kolar—114151172T. Dousa—711174113
M. Kolar10
WSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181WSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102WSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291WSep 4 · 18:00J. Dedek1.9110115101M. Kolar1.8012311123WSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113WSep 4 · 12:30M. Kolar1.301111113J. Steffan3.408780WSep 4 · 11:00M. Kolar2.25111111113L. Malek1.57139971LSep 4 · 10:00D. Parhomenko1.73111011113M. Kolar2.00412851LSep 3 · 13:02J. Prokupek2.0091111113M. Kolar1.73117431LSep 3 · 12:30M. Kolar2.0015104111J. Prokupek1.73131211133
T. Dousa10
WAug 31 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801112113P. Fojt1.9181080WAug 31 · 20:00P. Fojt1.839270T. Dousa1.831111113WAug 31 · 18:30T. Dousa1.401111123Y. Holovatiuk2.7599100LAug 27 · 17:29R. Pavelka1.7381111113T. Dousa2.00117891WAug 27 · 16:00T. Dousa1.831115133J. Plachy1.83913110WAug 27 · 15:30K. Darin2.1011118862T. Dousa1.67591111113LAug 27 · 14:00T. Dousa1.831212148112R. Pavelka1.8314101211133LAug 24 · 20:58J. Dedek1.80111195113T. Dousa1.9186111132LAug 24 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.83111117113T. Dousa1.83891981LAug 24 · 19:30T. Dousa1.839111381J. Dedek1.8311215113
Upcoming Matches
M. Kolar
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T. Dousa
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