TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13006821
Played Aug 24Finished
Jiri Dedek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118116911511113
Tomas Dousa
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Tomas Dousa below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 86 set 5, 11-3
86 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 15–15 Tomas Dousa Dead even across their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 3–7Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dedek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dousa form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 1.80 / Dousa 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dedek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13006821
Dedek1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 149 of 245
Up 2–0, closes it98% 88 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it80% 113 of 142
Dousa1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 54 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDedek3wins
AwayDousa7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDousa leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDedek75%3 of 4
AwayDousa100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dedek4Dousa6n = 10Dousa took 6 of 10
S2Dedek5Dousa5n = 10split evenly
S3Dedek5Dousa5n = 10split evenly
S4Dedek1Dousa5n = 6Dousa took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDedekDousaDedek − DousaBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.636.7−2.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekDousaBasisWin rate · lifetime464 / 910 vs 348 / 71051%49%464 / 910 vs 348 / 710Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekDedek 1.80/Dousa 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 20:00J. Dedek—1116133T. Dousa—714110
WAug 3 · 17:30J. Dedek—1111113T. Dousa—8960
LAug 3 · 16:30J. Dedek—1199101T. Dousa—61111123
LJul 31 · 22:30J. Dedek—19570T. Dousa—2111113
LJun 19 · 20:00J. Dedek—91111752T. Dousa—114411113
LMay 25 · 17:30J. Dedek—9950T. Dousa—1111113
LMay 25 · 16:30J. Dedek—711761T. Dousa—11711113
LApr 11 · 13:30J. Dedek—9101121T. Dousa—11126113
WApr 11 · 10:30J. Dedek—11117113T. Dousa—881181
LMar 20 · 22:30J. Dedek—881171T. Dousa—11117113
J. Dedek10
LSep 6 · 21:28J. Trefny1.671112113J. Dedek2.1091050WSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781LSep 6 · 18:30J. Trefny1.831111123J. Dedek1.8359100WSep 6 · 17:29J. Trefny1.6714711842J. Dedek2.101211711113WSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661WSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931LSep 6 · 14:00J. Trefny2.251111133J. Dedek1.5788110WSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Dedek2.757680V. Postelt1.401111113
T. Dousa10
WAug 31 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801112113P. Fojt1.9181080WAug 31 · 20:00P. Fojt1.839270T. Dousa1.831111113WAug 31 · 19:00M. Kolar2.25691181T. Dousa1.5711118113WAug 31 · 18:30T. Dousa1.401111123Y. Holovatiuk2.7599100LAug 27 · 17:29R. Pavelka1.7381111113T. Dousa2.00117891WAug 27 · 16:00T. Dousa1.831115133J. Plachy1.83913110WAug 27 · 15:30K. Darin2.1011118862T. Dousa1.67591111113LAug 27 · 14:00T. Dousa1.831212148112R. Pavelka1.8314101211133LAug 24 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.83111117113T. Dousa1.83891981LAug 24 · 19:30T. Dousa1.839111381J. Dedek1.8311215113
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