TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13020972
Played Aug 27Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115119811811611
Tomas Dousa
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:20 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Dousa to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Tomas Dousa below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 91 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Tomas Dousa at 59.3%
91 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 9–9 Tomas Dousa Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:20What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Dousa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-9 in 18
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1428 vs Dousa 1440
Dousa
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 40% vs Dousa 0%
Darin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 40% vs Dousa 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin -2 · Dousa -5
Dousa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Dousa) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dousa form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 2.10 / Dousa 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Dousa)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13020972
Darin2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 207 of 481
Down 0–1, comes back23% 61 of 267
Down 0–2, comes back9% 14 of 163
Dousa1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite52% won 90 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it82% 37 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it72% 59 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin5wins
AwayDousa5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin80%4 of 5
AwayDousa80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin5Dousa5n = 10split evenly
S2Darin6Dousa4n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S3Darin3Dousa7n = 10Dousa took 7 of 10
S4Darin4Dousa5n = 9Dousa took 5 of 9
S5Darin2Dousa1n = 3Darin took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinDousaDarin − DousaBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.940.8+0.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinDousaBasisWin rate · lifetime762 / 1545 vs 342 / 70049.3%48.9%762 / 1545 vs 342 / 700Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DousaDarin 2.10/Dousa 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Dousa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dousa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 11 · 20:00K. Darin—10131161T. Dousa—12159113
WAug 10 · 16:00K. Darin—1111119113T. Dousa—89131172
WAug 5 · 19:00K. Darin—116611113T. Dousa—91111982
WAug 4 · 20:00K. Darin—51111113T. Dousa—118451
WAug 3 · 21:02K. Darin—12811123T. Dousa—10118101
LAug 3 · 18:30K. Darin—1311891T. Dousa—15511113
LAug 3 · 15:30K. Darin—9119111T. Dousa—11611133
LAug 1 · 02:00K. Darin—11117772T. Dousa—551111113
LJul 10 · 16:00K. Darin—61090T. Dousa—1112113
WJul 7 · 19:00K. Darin—11113163T. Dousa—4911141
K. Darin10
WSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671WSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991LSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123
T. Dousa10
WAug 31 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801112113P. Fojt1.9181080WAug 31 · 20:00P. Fojt1.839270T. Dousa1.831111113WAug 31 · 19:00M. Kolar2.25691181T. Dousa1.5711118113WAug 31 · 18:30T. Dousa1.401111123Y. Holovatiuk2.7599100LAug 27 · 17:29R. Pavelka1.7381111113T. Dousa2.00117891WAug 27 · 16:00T. Dousa1.831115133J. Plachy1.83913110LAug 27 · 14:00T. Dousa1.831212148112R. Pavelka1.8314101211133LAug 24 · 20:58J. Dedek1.80111195113T. Dousa1.9186111132LAug 24 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.83111117113T. Dousa1.83891981LAug 24 · 19:30T. Dousa1.839111381J. Dedek1.8311215113
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