TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13055640
Played Aug 31Finished
Tomas Dousa
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181210118––––
Pavel Fojt
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingTomas Dousa above · Pavel Fojt below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 60 set 3, 11-8
60 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousa 20–15 Pavel Fojt Pavel Fojt has won 15 of their 35 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dousa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fojt form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousa 1.80 / Fojt 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dousa)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13055640
Dousa1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 92 of 176
Up 2–0, closes it83% 38 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it72% 60 of 83
Fojt1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 68 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back21% 20 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDousa6wins
AwayFojt4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDousa leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousa75%3 of 4
AwayFojt50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousa4Fojt6n = 10Fojt took 6 of 10
S2Dousa7Fojt3n = 10Dousa took 7 of 10
S3Dousa5Fojt5n = 10split evenly
S4Dousa3Fojt4n = 7Fojt took 4 of 7
S5Dousa3Fojt2n = 5Dousa took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDousaFojtD − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.140.9−0.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousaFojtBasisWin rate · lifetime347 / 706 vs 351 / 72049.2%48.8%347 / 706 vs 351 / 720Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DousaDousa 1.80/Fojt 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dousa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dousa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 20:00T. Dousa—1111113P. Fojt—9270
WAug 20 · 21:28T. Dousa—91111113P. Fojt—119991
LAug 20 · 18:30T. Dousa—11119772P. Fojt—791111113
LAug 13 · 21:10T. Dousa—12790P. Fojt—1411113
LAug 13 · 18:30T. Dousa—61121192P. Fojt—118117113
WJul 20 · 19:00T. Dousa—116125113P. Fojt—611101182
WJun 30 · 20:00T. Dousa—6111112143P. Fojt—115814122
LJun 23 · 20:30T. Dousa—10690P. Fojt—1211113
WMay 12 · 21:28T. Dousa—61411123P. Fojt—11129101
WMay 12 · 19:00T. Dousa—111348113P. Fojt—711111182
T. Dousa10
WAug 31 · 20:00P. Fojt1.839270T. Dousa1.831111113WAug 31 · 19:00M. Kolar2.25691181T. Dousa1.5711118113WAug 31 · 18:30T. Dousa1.401111123Y. Holovatiuk2.7599100LAug 27 · 17:29R. Pavelka1.7381111113T. Dousa2.00117891WAug 27 · 16:00T. Dousa1.831115133J. Plachy1.83913110WAug 27 · 15:30K. Darin2.1011118862T. Dousa1.67591111113LAug 27 · 14:00T. Dousa1.831212148112R. Pavelka1.8314101211133LAug 24 · 20:58J. Dedek1.80111195113T. Dousa1.9186111132LAug 24 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.83111117113T. Dousa1.83891981LAug 24 · 19:30T. Dousa1.839111381J. Dedek1.8311215113
P. Fojt10
LSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113WSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461WSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780WSep 3 · 03:30D. Parhomenko2.0277120P. Fojt1.701111143LSep 3 · 02:30P. Fojt1.80111110472D. Parhomenko1.91891211113WSep 3 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.10611121482P. Fojt1.671171412113WSep 3 · 24:00P. Fojt1.61811711113J. Jnr2.2011811932LAug 31 · 20:00P. Fojt1.839270T. Dousa1.831111113
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