TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12481442
Played Aug 24Finished
Tomas Dousa
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111121315811––
Jiri Dedek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Dousa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Dousa above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 80 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Dousa at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousa 15–15 Jiri Dedek Dead even across their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 7–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:46What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Dedek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-15 in 30
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dousa 1483 vs Dedek 1447
Dousa
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dousa 40% vs Dedek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dousa 50% vs Dedek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dousa -1 · Dedek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dousa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dedek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousa 1.83 / Dedek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dousa)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12481442
Dousa1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Dedek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDousa7wins
AwayDedek3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDousa leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousa100%6 of 6
AwayDedek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousa6Dedek4n = 10Dousa took 6 of 10
S2Dousa5Dedek5n = 10split evenly
S3Dousa5Dedek5n = 10split evenly
S4Dousa5Dedek1n = 6Dousa took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDousaDedekDousa − DedekBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.734.6+2.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousaDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime348 / 708 vs 463 / 90849.2%51%348 / 708 vs 463 / 908Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DousaDousa 1.83/Dedek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dousa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 20:00T. Dousa—714110J. Dedek—1116133
LAug 3 · 17:30T. Dousa—8960J. Dedek—1111113
WAug 3 · 16:30T. Dousa—61111123J. Dedek—1199101
WJul 31 · 22:30T. Dousa—2111113J. Dedek—19570
WJun 19 · 20:00T. Dousa—114411113J. Dedek—91111752
WMay 25 · 17:30T. Dousa—1111113J. Dedek—9950
WMay 25 · 16:30T. Dousa—11711113J. Dedek—711761
WApr 11 · 13:30T. Dousa—11126113J. Dedek—9101121
LApr 11 · 10:30T. Dousa—881181J. Dedek—11117113
WMar 20 · 22:30T. Dousa—11117113J. Dedek—881171
T. Dousa10
WAug 31 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801112113P. Fojt1.9181080WAug 31 · 20:00P. Fojt1.839270T. Dousa1.831111113WAug 31 · 19:00M. Kolar2.25691181T. Dousa1.5711118113WAug 31 · 18:30T. Dousa1.401111123Y. Holovatiuk2.7599100LAug 27 · 17:29R. Pavelka1.7381111113T. Dousa2.00117891WAug 27 · 16:00T. Dousa1.831115133J. Plachy1.83913110WAug 27 · 15:30K. Darin2.1011118862T. Dousa1.67591111113LAug 27 · 14:00T. Dousa1.831212148112R. Pavelka1.8314101211133LAug 24 · 20:58J. Dedek1.80111195113T. Dousa1.9186111132LAug 24 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.83111117113T. Dousa1.83891981
J. Dedek10
LSep 6 · 21:28J. Trefny1.671112113J. Dedek2.1091050WSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781LSep 6 · 18:30J. Trefny1.831111123J. Dedek1.8359100WSep 6 · 17:29J. Trefny1.6714711842J. Dedek2.101211711113WSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661WSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931LSep 6 · 14:00J. Trefny2.251111133J. Dedek1.5788110WSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113WAug 24 · 20:58J. Dedek1.80111195113T. Dousa1.9186111132
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