TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13048113
Played Aug 31Finished
Pavel Fojt
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911211711––––
Tomas Dousa
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Fojt to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPavel Fojt above · Tomas Dousa below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 51 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Pavel Fojt at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Fojt 15–20 Tomas Dousa Pavel Fojt has won 15 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:31What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Dousa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-20 in 35
Dousa
Correct
gap of 5 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fojt 1484 vs Dousa 1503
Dousa
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fojt 80% vs Dousa 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fojt 80% vs Dousa 40%
Fojt
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fojt +4 · Dousa +2
Fojt
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dousa) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dousa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFojt 1.83 / Dousa 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dousa)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13048113
Fojt1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Dousa1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFojt4wins
AwayDousa6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDousa leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFojt50%3 of 6
AwayDousa75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fojt6Dousa4n = 10Fojt took 6 of 10
S2Fojt3Dousa7n = 10Dousa took 7 of 10
S3Fojt5Dousa5n = 10split evenly
S4Fojt4Dousa3n = 7Fojt took 4 of 7
S5Fojt2Dousa3n = 5Dousa took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFojtDousaF − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.940.1+0.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFojtDousaBasisWin rate · lifetime351 / 720 vs 347 / 70648.8%49.2%351 / 720 vs 347 / 706Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DousaFojt 1.83/Dousa 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dousa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dousa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 20:00P. Fojt—9270T. Dousa—1111113
LAug 20 · 21:28P. Fojt—119991T. Dousa—91111113
WAug 20 · 18:30P. Fojt—791111113T. Dousa—11119772
WAug 13 · 21:10P. Fojt—1411113T. Dousa—12790
WAug 13 · 18:30P. Fojt—118117113T. Dousa—61121192
LJul 20 · 19:00P. Fojt—611101182T. Dousa—116125113
LJun 30 · 20:00P. Fojt—115814122T. Dousa—6111112143
WJun 23 · 20:30P. Fojt—1211113T. Dousa—10690
LMay 12 · 21:28P. Fojt—11129101T. Dousa—61411123
LMay 12 · 19:00P. Fojt—711111182T. Dousa—111348113
P. Fojt10
LSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113WSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461WSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780WSep 3 · 03:30D. Parhomenko2.0277120P. Fojt1.701111143LSep 3 · 02:30P. Fojt1.80111110472D. Parhomenko1.91891211113WSep 3 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.10611121482P. Fojt1.671171412113WSep 3 · 24:00P. Fojt1.61811711113J. Jnr2.2011811932WSep 2 · 23:00K. Darin2.636690P. Fojt1.441111113
T. Dousa10
WAug 31 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801112113P. Fojt1.9181080WAug 31 · 19:00M. Kolar2.25691181T. Dousa1.5711118113WAug 31 · 18:30T. Dousa1.401111123Y. Holovatiuk2.7599100LAug 27 · 17:29R. Pavelka1.7381111113T. Dousa2.00117891WAug 27 · 16:00T. Dousa1.831115133J. Plachy1.83913110WAug 27 · 15:30K. Darin2.1011118862T. Dousa1.67591111113LAug 27 · 14:00T. Dousa1.831212148112R. Pavelka1.8314101211133LAug 24 · 20:58J. Dedek1.80111195113T. Dousa1.9186111132LAug 24 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.83111117113T. Dousa1.83891981LAug 24 · 19:30T. Dousa1.839111381J. Dedek1.8311215113
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