TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13047220
Played Aug 31Finished
Tomas Dousa
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191191210––––
Yurii Holovatiuk
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Holovatiuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Dousa above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 62 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Yurii Holovatiuk at 54.0%
62 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousa 23–10 Yurii Holovatiuk Yurii Holovatiuk has won 10 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:38What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Dousa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-10 in 33
Dousa
Correct
gap of 13 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dousa 1457 vs Holovatiuk 1614
Holovatiuk
Wrong
both rated, 157 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dousa 40% vs Holovatiuk 80%
Holovatiuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dousa 30% vs Holovatiuk 60%
Holovatiuk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dousa -1 · Holovatiuk +3
Holovatiuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Dousa) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousa 1.40 / Holovatiuk 2.75
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Dousa)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13047220
Dousa1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 92 of 176
Up 2–0, closes it83% 38 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it72% 60 of 83
Holovatiuk2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 54 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back20% 16 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDousa7wins
AwayHolovatiuk3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDousa leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousa83.3%5 of 6
AwayHolovatiuk50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousa6Holovatiuk4n = 10Dousa took 6 of 10
S2Dousa7Holovatiuk3n = 10Dousa took 7 of 10
S3Dousa5Holovatiuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Dousa6Holovatiuk1n = 7Dousa took 6 of 7
S5Dousa1Holovatiuk2n = 3Holovatiuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDousaHolovatiukD − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.836.0+2.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousaHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime344 / 703 vs 316 / 63948.9%49.5%344 / 703 vs 316 / 639Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DousaDousa 1.40/Holovatiuk 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.1%
Dousa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dousa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 21:00T. Dousa—11117113Y. Holovatiuk—951171
LAug 17 · 18:30T. Dousa—1181211112Y. Holovatiuk—711148133
LAug 4 · 18:30T. Dousa—10680Y. Holovatiuk—1211113
LAug 3 · 20:00T. Dousa—82111182Y. Holovatiuk—111199113
WMay 25 · 18:30T. Dousa—111157113Y. Holovatiuk—65111162
WApr 23 · 21:00T. Dousa—1112113Y. Holovatiuk—71060
WApr 23 · 19:30T. Dousa—1111113Y. Holovatiuk—8880
WApr 13 · 18:00T. Dousa—91111123Y. Holovatiuk—1186101
WApr 10 · 21:28T. Dousa—11114113Y. Holovatiuk—771191
WApr 10 · 20:30T. Dousa—61111113Y. Holovatiuk—117981
T. Dousa10
WAug 31 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801112113P. Fojt1.9181080WAug 31 · 20:00P. Fojt1.839270T. Dousa1.831111113WAug 31 · 19:00M. Kolar2.25691181T. Dousa1.5711118113LAug 27 · 17:29R. Pavelka1.7381111113T. Dousa2.00117891WAug 27 · 16:00T. Dousa1.831115133J. Plachy1.83913110WAug 27 · 15:30K. Darin2.1011118862T. Dousa1.67591111113LAug 27 · 14:00T. Dousa1.831212148112R. Pavelka1.8314101211133LAug 24 · 20:58J. Dedek1.80111195113T. Dousa1.9186111132LAug 24 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.83111117113T. Dousa1.83891981LAug 24 · 19:30T. Dousa1.839111381J. Dedek1.8311215113
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123LSep 5 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.0011461172J. Plachy1.73811117113WSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131
Upcoming Matches
T. Dousa
Y. Holovatiuk
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