TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13070708
Played Sep 4Finished
Jiri Dedek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121135111012––
Milan Kolar
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:08 and never touched — 58.3% is still 58.3%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
58.3%
58.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Milan Kolar below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 74 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 58.3%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 21–27 Milan Kolar Jiri Dedek has won 21 of their 48 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:08What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kolar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-27 in 48
Kolar
Correct
gap of 6 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dedek 1519 vs Kolar 1429
Dedek
Wrong
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dedek 40% vs Kolar 60%
Kolar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dedek 60% vs Kolar 40%
Dedek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dedek -3 · Kolar +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dedek) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dedek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 1.91 / Kolar 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dedek)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13070708
Dedek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 80 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back23% 29 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 73
Kolar1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 129 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it88% 66 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it74% 98 of 132
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDedek5wins
AwayKolar5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDedekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKolar50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dedek2Kolar8n = 10Kolar took 8 of 10
S2Dedek6Kolar4n = 10Dedek took 6 of 10
S3Dedek5Kolar5n = 10split evenly
S4Dedek5Kolar3n = 8Dedek took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDedekKolarD − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.536.0−0.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekKolarBasisWin rate · lifetime472 / 914 vs 401 / 80851.6%49.6%472 / 914 vs 401 / 808Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekDedek 1.91/Kolar 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 15 · 02:00J. Dedek—111111113M. Kolar—781371
LAug 13 · 21:30J. Dedek—6760M. Kolar—1111113
WAug 13 · 18:00J. Dedek—41111113M. Kolar—116761
LJul 30 · 21:13J. Dedek—531141M. Kolar—11114113
WJul 30 · 20:30J. Dedek—91311123M. Kolar—11114101
LJul 24 · 21:13J. Dedek—681161M. Kolar—11116113
WJul 24 · 19:00J. Dedek—61111113M. Kolar—117971
LJul 23 · 18:00J. Dedek—111167112M. Kolar—591111133
LJun 10 · 23:00J. Dedek—9880M. Kolar—1111113
WJun 3 · 15:00J. Dedek—411911113M. Kolar—11311722
J. Dedek10
LSep 6 · 21:28J. Trefny1.671112113J. Dedek2.1091050WSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781LSep 6 · 18:30J. Trefny1.831111123J. Dedek1.8359100WSep 6 · 17:29J. Trefny1.6714711842J. Dedek2.101211711113WSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661WSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931LSep 6 · 14:00J. Trefny2.251111133J. Dedek1.5788110WSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Dedek2.757680V. Postelt1.401111113
M. Kolar10
WSep 4 · 21:30M. Kolar1.9011118113V. Postelt1.80561181WSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102WSep 4 · 19:00M. Kolar2.2511811113V. Postelt1.57711291WSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113WSep 4 · 12:30M. Kolar1.301111113J. Steffan3.408780WSep 4 · 11:00M. Kolar2.25111111113L. Malek1.57139971LSep 4 · 10:00D. Parhomenko1.73111011113M. Kolar2.00412851LSep 3 · 13:02J. Prokupek2.0091111113M. Kolar1.73117431LSep 3 · 12:30M. Kolar2.0015104111J. Prokupek1.73131211133LSep 3 · 11:00M. Kolar2.758161151M. Vedmoch1.4011186113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.